Astros vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Astros vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Updated Aug. 4, 2023 7:06 p.m. ET

Kyle Tucker and Anthony Volpe will look to continue their recent offensive production when the Houston Astros and New York Yankees take the field at Yankee Stadium on Friday, at 7:05 PM ET. The Astros are favored in this one, at -164, while the underdog Yankees have +138 odds to upset. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for this contest.

The Astros will give the ball to Hunter Brown (7-7) against the Yankees and Luis Severino (2-5).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -164 +138 9 -110 -110 -1.5 -103 -118

Astros vs. Yankees Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Astros 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 52%, Yankees 48%

Astros vs. Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Astros have won 43, or 55.8%, of the 77 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Houston has a record of 23-12, a 65.7% win rate, when favored by -164 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 62.1% chance to win.
  • The Yankees have been victorious in 15, or 39.5%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, New York has come away with a win four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 5-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
  • The Astros are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 15
ERA 4.35
K/9 8.2

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Astros Player Insights

  • Tucker is the bat to watch in the Astros lineup, leading the team in batting average (.299), home runs (19), and RBI (75).
  • In all of MLB, Tucker ranks 31st in home runs and 10th in RBI.
  • Tucker has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run and six RBI.
  • Alex Bregman has 14 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 60 walks while batting .251.
  • Bregman is 37th in home runs and 19th in RBI on the season.
  • Yordan Alvarez paces the Astros with 19 home runs.
  • Alvarez will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .333 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and six RBI.
  • Chas McCormick has 12 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .286.
  • McCormick is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a triple, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yordan Alvarez 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-141) 0.5 (+200) 0.5 (-110)
Yainer Diaz 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+120)
Jose Altuve 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Jeremy Pena 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Yankees have a record of 2-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Yankees are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 4.29
K/9 9.3

Yankees Player Insights

  • The Yankees are led in runs batted in by Gleyber Torres with a mark of 45, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .263.
  • Torres ranks 59th in homers and 102nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Torres has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .350 with three doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Aaron Judge has shown his power as he paces his team with 20 home runs.
  • Judge ranks 28th in home runs and 117th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Volpe is batting .215 with 13 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Harrison Bader is batting .256 with nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and seven walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+270)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+205) 0.5 (+135)
Gleyber Torres 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Billy McKinney 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+240)
Harrison Bader 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+220)

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