Astros vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Astros vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Updated Aug. 4, 2023 7:06 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Kyle Tucker and Anthony Volpe will look to continue their recent offensive production when the Houston Astros and New York Yankees take the field at Yankee Stadium on Friday, at 7:05 PM ET. The Astros are favored in this one, at -164, while the underdog Yankees have +138 odds to upset. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for this contest.

The Astros will give the ball to Hunter Brown (7-7) against the Yankees and Luis Severino (2-5).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -164 +138 9 -110 -110 -1.5 -103 -118

Astros vs. Yankees Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Astros 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 52%, Yankees 48%

Astros vs. Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Astros have won 43, or 55.8%, of the 77 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Houston has a record of 23-12, a 65.7% win rate, when favored by -164 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 62.1% chance to win.
  • The Yankees have been victorious in 15, or 39.5%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, New York has come away with a win four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 5-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
  • The Astros are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 15
ERA 4.35
K/9 8.2

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Astros Player Insights

  • Tucker is the bat to watch in the Astros lineup, leading the team in batting average (.299), home runs (19), and RBI (75).
  • In all of MLB, Tucker ranks 31st in home runs and 10th in RBI.
  • Tucker has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run and six RBI.
  • Alex Bregman has 14 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 60 walks while batting .251.
  • Bregman is 37th in home runs and 19th in RBI on the season.
  • Yordan Alvarez paces the Astros with 19 home runs.
  • Alvarez will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .333 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and six RBI.
  • Chas McCormick has 12 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .286.
  • McCormick is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a triple, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yordan Alvarez 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-141) 0.5 (+200) 0.5 (-110)
Yainer Diaz 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+120)
Jose Altuve 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Jeremy Pena 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Yankees have a record of 2-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Yankees are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 4.29
K/9 9.3

Yankees Player Insights

  • The Yankees are led in runs batted in by Gleyber Torres with a mark of 45, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .263.
  • Torres ranks 59th in homers and 102nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Torres has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .350 with three doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Aaron Judge has shown his power as he paces his team with 20 home runs.
  • Judge ranks 28th in home runs and 117th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Volpe is batting .215 with 13 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Harrison Bader is batting .256 with nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and seven walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+270)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+205) 0.5 (+135)
Gleyber Torres 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Billy McKinney 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+240)
Harrison Bader 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+220)

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