Astros vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Updated Aug. 5, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees will hit the field on Saturday at Yankee Stadium against Justin Verlander, who is expected to start for the Houston Astros. First pitch is set for 1:05 PM ET for the third game of a four-game series. The Astros are the favorite in this one, at -143, while the underdog Yankees have +121 odds to play spoiler. Houston is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

The Houston Astros will hand the ball to Verlander (6-5, 3.15 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Yankees will counter with Nestor Cortes Jr. (5-2, 5.16 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 1:05 PM ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-143	+121	8.5	-112	-108	-1.5	+117	-139

Astros vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Astros 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 52%, Yankees 48%

Astros vs. Yankees Betting Insights

The Astros have won 44, or 56.4%, of the 78 games they've played as favorites this season.
Houston has a record of 31-19, a 62% win rate, when favored by -143 or more by bookmakers this season.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Astros.
The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 39 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (38.5%) in those games.
This season, New York has been victorious eight times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros have a 6-3 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
The Astros have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	16
ERA	4.04
K/9	7.9

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Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker comes into Saturday's game hitting .300 with 77 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Astros. He has also connected on 19 round-trippers in 2023.
Tucker ranks 33rd in homers and sixth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Tucker brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .270 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
Alex Bregman is batting .249 with 14 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 61 walks.
Bregman is 37th in homers and 15th in RBI on the season.
Yordan Alvarez has hit a team-high 20 homers.
Alvarez will look to build on his eight-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .382 with two doubles, four home runs, four walks and seven RBI.
Chas McCormick has 12 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .281.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Yordan Alvarez	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+260)	0.5 (+110)
Alex Bregman	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+155)
José Abreu	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+175)
Jose Altuve	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+165)
Kyle Tucker	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Yankees had a record of 2-5.
The Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Yankees are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.4
HR	12
ERA	4.49
K/9	9

Yankees Player Insights

The Yankees are led in runs batted in by Gleyber Torres with a mark of 45, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .263.
Torres' home run total puts him 63rd in the big leagues, and he is 105th in RBI.
Torres has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
Judge's 20 home runs pace his team.
Judge is 29th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 120th in RBI.
Anthony Volpe has 13 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 37 walks while batting .213.
DJ LeMahieu has 17 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 34 walks while batting .235.

Yankees Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Gleyber Torres	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+190)
DJ LeMahieu	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+160)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+210)
Aaron Judge	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+170)	0.5 (+120)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+155)
Harrison Bader	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+195)

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