Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 16

Updated Jul. 16, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Matt Chapman and the Toronto Blue Jays hit the field on Sunday at Rogers Centre against Tommy Henry, who is starting for the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch is at 1:37 PM ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Blue Jays are favored in this one, at -165, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +140 odds to win. Toronto is a 1.5-run favorite (at +123 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 9.5 runs.

The Blue Jays will give the ball to Yusei Kikuchi (7-3) against the Diamondbacks and Henry (5-1).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 1:37 PM ET
Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
How to Watch on TV: SNET

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays	-165	+140	9.5	-105	-115	-1.5	+123	-146

Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Diamondbacks 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Blue Jays have won 39, or 57.4%, of the 68 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season Toronto has won 14 of its 24 games, or 58.3%, when favored by at least -165 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
The Diamondbacks have won in 24, or 49%, of the 49 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Arizona has won five of 11 games when listed as at least +140 or worse on the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 41.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

The Blue Jays have a 7-3 record from the 10 games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Blue Jays are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	15
ERA	3.03
K/9	10.3

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Blue Jays Player Insights

Bo Bichette's .315 average and 16 homers both put him atop the Blue Jays leaderboard this season.
Of all hitters in baseball, Bichette's home run total ranks him 32nd, and his RBI tally ranks him 32nd.
Bichette brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .273 with a double, a home run and an RBI.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 59 runs batted in.
Guerrero ranks 53rd in homers in the majors, and 15th in RBI.
George Springer is hitting .269 with 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
Springer has at least one base hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
Whit Merrifield has 17 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks while batting .291.
Merrifield brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .400 with two home runs, a walk and eight RBI.

Blue Jays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Santiago Espinal	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+200)
George Springer	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)
Danny Jansen	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+135)
Whit Merrifield	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+140)
Matt Chapman	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
The Diamondbacks are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	2.7
HR	9
ERA	4.40
K/9	8.9

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with 18 homers while recording a team-leading batting average of .291.
Carroll's home run total puts him 20th in MLB, and he is 52nd in RBI.
Ketel Marte is hitting .283 with 15 doubles, four triples, 15 home runs and 37 walks.
Marte ranks 41st overall in homers and 73rd in RBI this year.
Christian Walker has been a significant run producer for the Diamondbacks with 18 home runs and 58 runs batted in.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .266 with 21 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Christian Walker	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+135)
Ketel Marte	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+160)
Emmanuel Rivera	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+175)

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