Blue Jays vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 10

Updated Aug. 10, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Toronto Blue Jays and Alejandro Kirk head into the final of a four-game series against Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians on Thursday at Progressive Field. Bookmakers list the Blue Jays as -140 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Guardians +119 moneyline odds to win. Toronto is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +111 odds). A 9.5-run total has been set in this matchup.

The Blue Jays will start Alek Manoah (3-8) versus the Guardians and Noah Syndergaard (1-5).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays	-140	+119	9.5	-103	-117	-1.5	+111	-132

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Guardians 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 50%, Guardians 50%

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Betting Insights

The Blue Jays have won 46, or 56.1%, of the 82 games they've played as favorites this season.
Toronto is 24-20 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
The Guardians have won in 21, or 40.4%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Cleveland has won four of 20 games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

The Blue Jays have a 4-4 record over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to hit the over two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Blue Jays' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	12
ERA	3.34
K/9	7.7

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Blue Jays Player Insights

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 18 home runs and 69 runs batted in.
Among all MLB hitters, Guerrero is 54th in batting average, 51st in on-base percentage, and 65th in slugging.
Guerrero takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .318 with two doubles, a home run and two RBI.
George Springer has 17 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 40 walks while batting .257.
Springer ranks 95th in home runs and 108th in RBI on the season.
Springer has six games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .333 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and five RBI.
Whit Merrifield has accumulated a team-best batting average of .297.
Merrifield is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.
Matt Chapman is batting .257 with 35 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 54 walks.
Chapman has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double and three RBI.

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
The Guardians have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	2.3
HR	5
ERA	2.79
K/9	8.3

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez has swatted a team-high 18 long balls.
Among all hitters in MLB, Ramirez is 43rd in home runs and 36th in RBI.
Kwan is hitting .268 with 27 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 49 walks.
Kwan is 267th overall in home runs and 156th in RBI this season.
Andres Gimenez has 19 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 26 walks while batting .232.
Will Brennan has 18 doubles, five home runs and 11 walks while batting .257.

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