Blue Jays vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 11:01 a.m. ET

Alejandro Kirk and the Toronto Blue Jays will square off against the Miami Marlins and Xavier Edwards at Rogers Centre on Saturday at 3:07 p.m. ET. The Marlins are listed as +139 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Blue Jays (-165). Toronto (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total for the contest is set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Miami Marlins and the Toronto Blue Jays.
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Blue Jays vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 3:07 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
  • How to Watch on TV: SNET
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays -165 +139 8.5 -110 -111 -1.5 +129 -154

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 56%, Marlins 44%

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 78 times and won 44, or 56.4%, of those games.
  • This season Toronto has won 15 of its 21 games, or 71.4%, when favored by at least -165 on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have a 62.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have come away with 56 wins in the 143 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Miami has come away with a win 29 times in 77 chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 41.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Sat 7:07 PM
SNET
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Miami Marlins
MIA
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Blue Jays played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and they finished 1-4 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
  • The Blue Jays' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 5
ERA 4.29
K/9 8.6

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. paces the Blue Jays in home runs (30), runs batted in (103) and has put up a team-best batting average of .326.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Guerrero ranks second in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
  • Guerrero has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with two doubles, a walk and four RBI.
  • George Springer has 19 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 59 walks while batting .220.
  • Springer is 89th in homers and 128th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Springer enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .136 with a double and a walk.
  • Ernie Clement is hitting .265 with 21 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 11 walks.
  • Clement has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .350 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Spencer Horwitz is hitting .268 with 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 41 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Spencer Horwitz 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+130)
Alejandro Kirk 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+125)
Ernie Clement 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+150)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+120)
Nathan Lukes 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Marlins had a record of 5-5.
  • The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Marlins are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 14
ERA 5.90
K/9 7.3

Marlins Player Insights

  • Jake Burger paces the Marlins in home runs (29), runs batted in (76) and has a team-best batting average of .251.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Burger's home run total is 23rd and his RBI tally is 50th.
  • Burger carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .360 with three doubles, two home runs and eight RBI.
  • Jesus Sanchez is hitting .251 to lead the lineup.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Sanchez is 99th in homers and 89th in RBI.
  • Otto Lopez is hitting .268 with 22 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 25 walks.
  • Edwards is hitting .327 with 11 doubles, five triples, a home run and 32 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Xavier Edwards 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+240)
Jesús Sánchez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+160)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+120)
Connor Norby 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+160)
Jhonny Pereda 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+260)

Marlins vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Miami Marlins and the Toronto Blue Jays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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