Blue Jays vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 3:08 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

George Springer and the Toronto Blue Jays will try to find success Xzavion Curry when he starts for the Miami Marlins on Saturday at 3:07 p.m. ET, in the second game of a three-game series at Rogers Centre. The favored Blue Jays have -172 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +145. Toronto is favored on the run line (-1.5). An 8.5-run total is set for this game.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Miami Marlins and the Toronto Blue Jays.
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Blue Jays vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 3:07 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
  • How to Watch on TV: SNET
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays -172 +145 8.5 -120 -100 -1.5 +123 -146

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 56%, Marlins 44%

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have won 44 out of the 78 games, or 56.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Toronto has won 10 of its 14 games, or 71.4%, when favored by at least -172 on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have a 63.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have come away with 56 wins in the 143 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Miami has won 26 of 68 games when listed as at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 40.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
MIA 8 · TOR 1
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Miami Marlins
MIA
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Blue Jays played as the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and they went 1-4 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Blue Jays combined with their opponents to go over the run total three times.
  • The Blue Jays' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 5
ERA 4.29
K/9 8.6

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Not only does Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lead the Blue Jays in hitting with his .326 average, he also paces the squad with 30 home runs and 103 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Guerrero is 20th in home runs and 11th in RBI.
  • Guerrero brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with two doubles, a walk and four RBI.
  • George Springer is hitting .220 with 19 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 59 walks.
  • Springer ranks 89th in home runs and 128th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Springer has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .136 with a double and a walk.
  • Ernie Clement is batting .265 with 21 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 11 walks.
  • Clement will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Spencer Horwitz is batting .268 with 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 41 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Spencer Horwitz 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+130)
Ernie Clement 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+150)
Nathan Lukes 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+160)
Addison Barger 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+155)
George Springer 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 6-3-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Marlins have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 14
ERA 5.90
K/9 7.3

Marlins Player Insights

  • Jake Burger leads the lineup with a batting average of .251, and leads the Marlins in home runs, with 29 and runs batted in with 76.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Burger's home run total is 23rd and his RBI tally ranks 50th.
  • Burger has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .360 with three doubles, two home runs and eight RBI.
  • Jesus Sanchez is batting .251 to lead the lineup.
  • Sanchez is 99th overall in homers and 89th in RBI this year.
  • Otto Lopez is batting .268 with 22 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 25 walks.
  • Xavier Edwards is batting .327 with 11 doubles, five triples, a home run and 32 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jesús Sánchez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+165)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+120)
Connor Norby 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+160)
Xavier Edwards 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+235)
Javier Sanoja 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) - 0.5 (+280)

Marlins vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Miami Marlins and the Toronto Blue Jays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Toronto Blue Jays
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