Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 3

Updated Aug. 3, 2023 3:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles take the field on Thursday at Rogers Centre against Kevin Gausman, who is starting for the Toronto Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 3:07 PM ET. The favored Blue Jays have -172 moneyline odds against the underdog Orioles, who are listed at +146. Toronto is favored on the run line (-1.5). An 8.5-run total is set for this game.

The Blue Jays will give the ball to Gausman (8-5) versus the Orioles and Jack Flaherty (7-6).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 3:07 PM ET
Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays	-172	+146	8.5	-109	-110	-1.5	+118	-141

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 52%, Orioles 48%

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Blue Jays have won 43, or 55.8%, of the 77 games they've played as favorites this season.
Toronto has a record of 14-10 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -172 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 63.2%.
The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (54.4%) in those games.
Baltimore has a mark of 4-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +146 or worse on the moneyline.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 40.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

The Blue Jays were favored on the moneyline for six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times.
The Blue Jays have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	15
ERA	3.48
K/9	9.9

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Blue Jays Player Insights

The Blue Jays' best power option comes in the form of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 17-dinger 66-RBI season, both team highs.
Guerrero is 46th in homers and 23rd in RBI among all batters in MLB.
Whit Merrifield's .296 batting average paces his team.
Merrifield is 164th in home runs and 75th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
George Springer is batting .245 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 37 walks.
Matt Chapman has 33 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 53 walks while batting .256.

Blue Jays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Matt Chapman	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+145)
Whit Merrifield	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+200)
Danny Jansen	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)
George Springer	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+145)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Orioles have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	12
ERA	3.51
K/9	9.0

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman is hitting .273 with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .373.
Among all batters in MLB, Rutschman's home run total is 84th and his RBI tally is 78th.
Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 19 home runs and 62 RBI.
Santander is 31st in home runs and 34th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Adam Frazier is batting .239 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 25 walks.
Henderson is batting .244 with 14 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ryan O'Hearn	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+175)
Austin Hays	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+195)
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+195)
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+155)
Gunnar Henderson	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+225)

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