Blue Jays vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Blue Jays vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Updated Jul. 19, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Whit Merrifield and the Toronto Blue Jays head into the second of a three-game series against Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres at Rogers Centre, Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET. The Padres have been listed as +101 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Blue Jays (-120). Toronto (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's total has been listed at 9 runs.

The Blue Jays will start Jose Berrios (8-6) against the Padres and Yu Darvish (6-6).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Padres game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Blue Jays vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, July 19, 2023 at 7:07 PM ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays -120 +101 9 -101 -119 -1.5 +167 -203

Blue Jays vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities:

Blue Jays vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won 40, or 58%, of the 69 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Toronto has a record of 35-25, a 58.3% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Blue Jays have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Padres have come away with nine wins in the 26 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • San Diego has a mark of 4-12 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 49.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Blue Jays have an 8-1 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
  • The Blue Jays have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 10
ERA 3.13
K/9 8.8

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Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Bo Bichette's .316 average and 16 homers both put him atop the Blue Jays leaderboard this season.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Bichette is 39th in homers and 42nd in RBI.
  • Bichette carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a home run and an RBI.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has collected 60 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Guerrero ranks 58th in homers and 19th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • George Springer is batting .271 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
  • Springer will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .333 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
  • Merrifield is hitting .292 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 25 walks.
  • Merrifield brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .421 with a home run, a walk and four RBI.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
George Springer 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Danny Jansen 0.5 (-175) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+155)
Whit Merrifield 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+200)
Matt Chapman 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+160)
Bo Bichette 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Padres have been underdogs twice and lost both games.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 7-1-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Padres are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 19
ERA 3.75
K/9 10.5

Padres Player Insights

  • Soto has put up a team-leading 54 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Soto ranks 28th in home runs and 35th in RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has a club-best .284 batting average.
  • Among all major league batters, Tatis ranks 28th in home runs and 61st in RBI.
  • Manny Machado has 18 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Xander Bogaerts is hitting .255 with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+120)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+245)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+190)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+160)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+190)

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