Blue Jays vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 16

Updated Aug. 16, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Bryson Stott and the Philadelphia Phillies hit the field on Wednesday at Rogers Centre against Kevin Gausman, who will start for the Toronto Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 7:07 PM ET. The favored Blue Jays have -141 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Phillies, who are listed at +120. Toronto is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +153 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

The Toronto Blue Jays will give the start to Gausman (9-6, 3.04 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Phillies will turn to Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.49 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, August 16, 2023 at 7:07 PM ET
Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
How to Watch on TV: SNET

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays	-141	+120	7.5	-109	-111	-1.5	+153	-184

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Prediction

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Phillies 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 54%, Phillies 46%

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Betting Insights

The Blue Jays have been favorites in 86 games this season and won 47 (54.7%) of those contests.
Toronto has a record of 24-21 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -141 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
The Phillies have been victorious in 17, or 44.7%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 5-9 when favored by +120 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

The Blue Jays were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
The Blue Jays' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	7
ERA	2.35
K/9	8

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Blue Jays Player Insights

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. paces the Blue Jays in home runs (18) and runs batted in (72).
Among all MLB batters, Guerrero is 59th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage, and 68th in slugging.
Whit Merrifield has 21 doubles, 11 home runs and 28 walks while batting .304.
Merrifield is 140th in home runs in the majors, and 72nd in RBI.
Merrifield carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .348 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
George Springer is batting .257 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 42 walks.
Springer has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
Matt Chapman has 35 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 55 walks while batting .255.

Blue Jays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Whit Merrifield	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+240)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
George Springer	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+175)
Alejandro Kirk	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+210)
Danny Jansen	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Phillies and their opponents are 4-4-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Phillies have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	20
ERA	3.64
K/9	8.4

Phillies Player Insights

Stott leads the Phillies with a .298 batting average.
Stott's home run total places him 140th in the majors, and he ranks 114th in RBI.
Alec Bohm has collected 74 runs batted in to lead his team.
Bohm is 126th in home runs and 21st in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Kyle Schwarber has 30 home runs, best in the lineup.
Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .277 with 27 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 26 walks.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bryce Harper	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Nicholas Castellanos	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+170)
Trea Turner	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+190)
Alec Bohm	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+205)

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