Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Updated Aug. 5, 2023 3:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox hit the field on Saturday at Fenway Park against Jose Berrios, who will start for the Toronto Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 4:10 PM ET for the second game of a three-game series. The Blue Jays are -111 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Red Sox (-108). Toronto is a 1.5-run favorite (at +140 odds). The game's total has been set at 9.5 runs.

The Blue Jays will start Berrios (8-7) against the Red Sox and John Schreiber (1-1).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays	-111	-108	9.5	-113	-107	-1.5	+140	-170

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 55%, Red Sox 45%

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

The Blue Jays have won 43, or 55.1%, of the 78 games they've played as favorites this season.
Toronto has entered 78 games this season favored by -111 or more and is 43-35 in those contests.
The Blue Jays have a 52.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Red Sox have been victorious in 31, or 52.5%, of the 59 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Boston has a win-loss record of 30-28 when favored by -108 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 51.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

The Blue Jays played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and went 3-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Blue Jays have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	17
ERA	3.75
K/9	9.9

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Blue Jays Player Insights

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the Blue Jays best power hitter, crushing 18 homers this season in addition to accumulating 69 RBI, both team highs.
Guerrero's home runs place him 37th in MLB, and he ranks 21st in RBI.
Guerrero brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .176 with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
Whit Merrifield is batting .300 to pace his team.
Including all MLB hitters, Merrifield ranks 150th in home runs and 73rd in RBI.
Merrifield has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .227 with two home runs and two RBI.
George Springer is batting .243 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 39 walks.
Matt Chapman has 34 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 54 walks while hitting .256.

Blue Jays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
George Springer	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+150)
Whit Merrifield	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+215)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+150)
Matt Chapman	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+155)
Brandon Belt	0.5 (-179)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Red Sox have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4
HR	13
ERA	3.58
K/9	8.9

Red Sox Player Insights

Justin Turner has 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 walks while batting .286.
Turner ranks 51st in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Turner has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .286 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and seven RBI.
Rafael Devers has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 25 home runs and 76 runs batted in.
Devers ranks 11th in homers and eighth in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with a team-best batting average of .305.
Alex Verdugo is batting .270 with 27 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 38 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Justin Turner	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+125)
Luis Urías	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+190)
Triston Casas	0.5 (-179)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+150)
Jarren Duran	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Alex Verdugo	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+200)

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