Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 15

Updated Sep. 15, 2023 7:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Justin Turner and the Boston Red Sox will hit the field against the Toronto Blue Jays and starter Jose Berrios on Friday. First pitch is at 7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are -145 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Red Sox (+124). Toronto is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +142 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Toronto Blue Jays looking to Berrios (10-10), and Brayan Bello (12-8) taking the ball for the Boston Red Sox.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 15, 2023 at 7:07 PM ET
Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
How to Watch on TV: SNET

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays	-145	+124	8.5	-107	-113	-1.5	+142	-168

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 4
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 54%, Red Sox 46%

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 110 times this season and won 59, or 53.6%, of those games.
Toronto is 33-26 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
The Blue Jays have a 59.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Red Sox have won in 38, or 50%, of the 76 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Boston has come away with a win 17 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +124 or longer on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

The Blue Jays have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Blue Jays have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	7
ERA	5.20
K/9	9.2

Blue Jays Player Insights

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a team-high 22 home runs and 86 runs batted in.
Among all hitters in baseball, Guerrero's home run total ranks him 58th, and his RBI tally ranks him 32nd.
Guerrero has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .118 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.
George Springer is batting .259 with 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 57 walks.
Springer ranks 85th in homers and 91st in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Whit Merrifield is hitting .279 with 25 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 walks.
Bo Bichette is batting .306 to lead his team.

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
The Red Sox have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	11
ERA	5.30
K/9	9.8

Red Sox Player Insights

Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 31 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 95.
Among all hitters in MLB, Devers' home run total is 14th and his RBI tally is ninth.
Turner is batting .283 with 28 doubles, 23 home runs and 49 walks.
Turner ranks 49th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 11th in RBI.
Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox's lineup with a .289 batting average.
Alex Verdugo has 36 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .272.