Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 3:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Toronto Blue Jays versus Boston Red Sox game on Saturday at 3:07 PM ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Cavan Biggio and Rafael Devers. The Blue Jays are -144 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Red Sox (+122). Toronto is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run over/under has been set in the game.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Toronto Blue Jays looking to Chris Bassitt (14-8), and Chris Sale (6-4) getting the nod for the Boston Red Sox.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 3:07 PM ET
Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays	-144	+122	8.5	-106	-113	-1.5	+147	-176

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 54%, Red Sox 46%

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 111 times and won 60, or 54.1%, of those games.
Toronto has a record of 34-26, a 56.7% win rate, when favored by -144 or more by bookmakers this season.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 59% chance to win.
The Red Sox have been underdogs in 77 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (49.4%) in those contests.
Boston has a mark of 19-11 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +122 or worse on the moneyline.
The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

The Blue Jays went 5-4 over the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Blue Jays' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	8
ERA	4.85
K/9	9.3

Blue Jays Player Insights

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the Blue Jays best power hitter, crushing 23 round-trippers this season in addition to collecting 89 RBI, both team highs.
Of all hitters in baseball, Guerrero's home run total ranks him 51st, and his RBI tally puts him 24th.
Guerrero carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with two home runs and five RBI.
George Springer has 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 57 walks while hitting .257.
Springer is 89th in homers and 94th in RBI on the season.
Whit Merrifield is batting .279 with 25 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 walks.
Bo Bichette is batting .304 to lead his team.

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Red Sox had a record of 1-5.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Red Sox have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	9
ERA	5.36
K/9	10.1

Red Sox Player Insights

Devers leads the Red Sox with 31 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 95.
Devers is 14th in homers and ninth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
Justin Turner is batting .285 with 30 doubles, 23 home runs and 49 walks.
Turner is 51st among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 12th in RBI.
Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a team-best batting average of .288.
Alex Verdugo is hitting .270 with 36 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks.