Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2023 1:11 p.m. ET

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Nick Pivetta will start for the Boston Red Sox in the final of a three-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. on Sunday at 1:37 PM ET. The Blue Jays are -148 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Red Sox (+125). Toronto is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this matchup.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Toronto Blue Jays looking to Hyun-Jin Ryu (3-3), and Pivetta (9-9) getting the nod for the Boston Red Sox.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:37 PM ET
• Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 54%, Red Sox 46%

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have won 61, or 54.5%, of the 112 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Toronto has entered 57 games this season favored by -148 or more and is 32-25 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 59.7%.
• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 78 games this year and have walked away with the win 38 times (48.7%) in those games.
• Boston has a mark of 17-10 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +125 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 44.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays have a 5-4 record across the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Blue Jays' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Guerrero is the Blue Jays best power option, hitting 24 long balls this season in addition to accumulating 90 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of MLB, Guerrero is 44th in home runs and 24th in RBI.
• Guerrero has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three home runs, three walks and six RBI.
• George Springer is batting .254 with 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 57 walks.
• Springer ranks 89th in homers and 96th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Whit Merrifield is hitting .278 with 25 doubles, 11 home runs and 33 walks.
• Merrifield is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .188 with two walks and an RBI.
• Bo Bichette's .303 batting average paces his team.

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Red Sox have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 32 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 97.
• Devers ranks 13th in home runs and ninth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Justin Turner is batting .283 with 30 doubles, 23 home runs and 49 walks.
• Turner is 53rd in home runs and 14th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox's lineup with a .286 batting average.
• Alex Verdugo has 36 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .267.

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MLB - Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 09/17/2023

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