Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Updated Sep. 23, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

The Boston Red Sox and Triston Casas take the field at Rogers Centre against George Springer and the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday. Oddsmakers list the Blue Jays as -115 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox -104 moneyline odds to win. Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the contest has been set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Red Sox Game 1 Highlights | MLB on FOX

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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, September 23, 2024 at 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays -115 -104 8 -110 -111 -1.5 -196 +162

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 52%, Red Sox 48%

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won 43, or 58.1%, of the 74 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Toronto has won 39 of its 67 games, or 58.2%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 76 games this year and have walked away with the win 37 times (48.7%) in those games.
  • This year, Boston has won 28 of 61 games when listed as at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 51% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
BOS 4 · TOR 1
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Blue Jays went 3-1 across the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Blue Jays combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total three times.
  • The Blue Jays have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 5
ERA 3.10
K/9 7.6

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. paces the Blue Jays in home runs (30), runs batted in (100) and has put up a team-best batting average of .327.
  • Including all MLB batters, Guerrero ranks second in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
  • Guerrero carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .455 with two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
  • Springer has 18 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .219.
  • Springer ranks 85th in homers and 121st in RBI in the majors.
  • Ernie Clement has 21 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 10 walks while hitting .265.
  • Spencer Horwitz has 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .272.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
George Springer 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+210)
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+170)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 (-285) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+170)
Nathan Lukes 0.5 (-285) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+195)
Joey Loperfido 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+250)

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Red Sox are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 11
ERA 2.73
K/9 8.8

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Jarren Duran leads the team in batting average with a mark of .285.
  • Duran ranks 60th in home runs and 47th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Duran takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, four walks and three RBI.
  • Tyler O'Neill has shown off his power as he paces his team with 31 home runs.
  • O'Neill ranks 15th among all batters in the majors in home runs, and 97th in RBI.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .247 with 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 15 walks.
  • Masataka Yoshida is hitting .286 with 20 doubles, 10 home runs and 27 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Masataka Yoshida 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+130)
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+150)
Trevor Story 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+200)
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 (-175) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+175)
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) - 0.5 (+175)

Twins vs. Red Sox Game 1 Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox Game 1.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Toronto Blue Jays
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