Blue Jays vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 18

Updated Aug. 18, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jose Berrios and Brett Kennedy are the projected starters when the Toronto Blue Jays and Cincinnati Reds square off on Friday at Great American Ball Park. Oddsmakers list the Blue Jays as -145 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Reds +124 moneyline odds to win. Toronto is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +105 odds). The over/under for the game has been set at 10 runs.

The Toronto Blue Jays will give the start to Berrios (9-8, 3.53 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Reds will turn to Kennedy (1-0, 5.14 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Blue Jays vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 18, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays	-145	+124	10	-106	-113	-1.5	+105	-126

Blue Jays vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Blue Jays 4
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 51%, Reds 49%

Blue Jays vs. Reds Betting Insights

The Blue Jays have been favorites in 87 games this season and won 47 (54%) of those contests.
Toronto has a record of 23-19, a 54.8% win rate, when favored by -145 or more by bookmakers this season.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 59.2% chance to win.
The Reds have been underdogs in 87 games this season and have come away with the win 43 times (49.4%) in those contests.
Cincinnati has a mark of 23-26 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +124 or worse on the moneyline.
The Reds have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

The Blue Jays played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-5 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
The Blue Jays' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	7
ERA	2.66
K/9	7.8

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Blue Jays Player Insights

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the Blue Jays best power option, crushing 18 homers this season in addition to collecting 72 RBI, both team highs.
Guerrero's home runs place him 58th in MLB, and he is 29th in RBI.
Whit Merrifield is hitting .301 with 21 doubles, 11 home runs and 28 walks.
Merrifield is 142nd in homers and 74th in RBI on the year.
George Springer is batting .255 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 42 walks.
Matt Chapman is hitting .255 with 35 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 55 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Alejandro Kirk	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+185)
George Springer	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)
Whit Merrifield	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+155)
Matt Chapman	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+285)	0.5 (+120)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+120)

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Reds have a record of 3-2.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 2-8-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Reds have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	11
ERA	3.90
K/9	9.2

Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer has put up a team-high 18 home runs and has driven in 66 runs.
Among all hitters in the majors, Steer's home run total is 58th and his RBI tally is 39th.
TJ Friedl's .278 batting average paces his team.
Friedl is 174th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 121st in RBI.
Matt McLain is batting .298 with 23 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 26 walks.
Tyler Stephenson has 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 42 walks while hitting .245.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+220)
Spencer Steer	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+155)
Stuart Fairchild	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+270)
Tyler Stephenson	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+250)
Joey Votto	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+165)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Blue Jays vs Reds!

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