Braves vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Braves vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Ronald Acuna Jr. and Christian Yelich will be among the star attractions when the Atlanta Braves play the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET, at Truist Park. The Braves are the favorite in this one, at -190, while the underdog Brewers have +160 odds to play spoiler. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -100 odds). The total is 11 runs for this contest (with -109 odds to hit the over and -110 odds to go under).

The Atlanta Braves will give the start to AJ Smith-Shawver and the Brewers will turn to Colin Rea (5-4, 4.53 ERA).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Brewers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -190 +160 11 -109 -110 -1.5 -100 -120

Braves vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 6, Brewers 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 11 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 56%, Brewers 44%

Braves vs. Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 58 out of the 90 games, or 64.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • Atlanta has a record of 25-9 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -190 on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have a 65.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have been victorious in 28, or 51.9%, of the 54 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 1-4 when favored by +160 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 38.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves went 5-5 over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Braves' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 22
ERA 5.59
K/9 8.8

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Braves Player Insights

  • The Braves best hitter so far this season is Acuna, who's hitting at a team-leading .333 rate along with 24 homers and 61 RBI.
  • Acuna's home runs put him 12th in MLB, and he is 30th in RBI.
  • Acuna carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with a home run, five walks and three RBI.
  • Matt Olson's 33 home runs and 83 runs batted in both lead his team.
  • Olson is second in homers in MLB, and second in RBI.
  • Olson heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .258 with 17 doubles, three triples, 24 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Albies has at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with two home runs and eight RBI.
  • Austin Riley is batting .277 with 19 doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 35 walks.
  • Riley is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a double, a home run, a walk and an RBI.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Austin Riley 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+100)
Ozzie Albies 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-130) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (-105)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+135)
Orlando Arcia 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+190)
Matt Olson 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-141) 0.5 (+185) 0.5 (-115)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 3-4 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Brewers are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4
HR 8
ERA 4.30
K/9 10.6

Brewers Player Insights

  • Yelich paces the Brewers with 58 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .286.
  • Yelich ranks 63rd in homers and 38th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Carlos Santana is batting .233 with 25 doubles, 12 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Santana ranks 103rd among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 59th in RBI.
  • William Contreras is hitting .274 with 20 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Willy Adames has swatted a team-leading 17 home runs.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Willy Adames 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+120)
Carlos Santana 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+125)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+145)
William Contreras 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+135)
Christian Yelich 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+140)

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