Braves vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Braves vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Cody Bellinger and the Chicago Cubs will look to knock off Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday at 7:20 PM ET at Truist Park. The Braves are the favorite in this one, at -157, while the underdog Cubs have +133 odds to play spoiler. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 9.5-run total has been listed in this game.

The Braves will start Darius Vines (1-0) against the Cubs and Jameson Taillon (8-10).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Cubs game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSO
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -157 +133 9.5 -103 -117 -1.5 +126 -150

Braves vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Cubs 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 57%, Cubs 43%

Braves vs. Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Braves have won 93, or 64.6%, of the 144 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Atlanta has won 67 of its 91 games, or 73.6%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have a 61.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (44.6%) in those games.
  • Chicago has a win-loss record of 9-9 when favored by +133 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 42.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have a 5-5 record from the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times.
  • The Braves have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 18
ERA 6.65
K/9 8.1

Braves Player Insights

  • Acuna is the Braves best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .335 clip along with 41 homers and 103 RBI.
  • Among all MLB batters, Acuna is third in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
  • Acuna carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .356 with two doubles, a triple, five home runs, a walk and eight RBI.
  • Matt Olson's 53 home runs and 134 RBI are both team-highs.
  • Among all MLB batters, Olson is first in homers and first in RBI.
  • Olson carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .275 with 30 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Albies has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .391 with four doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
  • Austin Riley is hitting .282 with 30 doubles, two triples, 37 home runs and 57 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Sean Murphy 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+165)
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+145)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1.5 (+140) 1.5 (-145) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+160)
Austin Riley 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+140)
Travis d'Arnaud 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Cubs have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Cubs have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 14
ERA 4.69
K/9 10.1

Cubs Player Insights

  • Bellinger paces the Cubs with 26 home runs and 96 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .309.
  • Bellinger's home run total places him 38th in the big leagues, and he is 19th in RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner is batting .287 with 27 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 49 walks.
  • Hoerner is 231st among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 92nd in RBI.
  • Ian Happ is batting .246 with 34 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 98 walks.
  • Seiya Suzuki is batting .284 with 29 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 56 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Dansby Swanson 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+165)
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+130)
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+160)
Nico Hoerner 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+195)
Ian Happ 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+150)
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