Braves vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27
Updated
Sep. 27, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
Cody Bellinger and the Chicago Cubs will look to knock off Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday at 7:20 PM ET at Truist Park. The Braves are the favorite in this one, at -157, while the underdog Cubs have +133 odds to play spoiler. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 9.5-run total has been listed in this game.
The Braves will start Darius Vines (1-0) against the Cubs and Jameson Taillon (8-10).
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Cubs game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Braves vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds
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- When: Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: BSSO
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Braves | -157 | +133 | 9.5 | -103 | -117 | -1.5 | +126 | -150 |
Braves vs. Cubs Prediction
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Cubs 3
- Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 57%, Cubs 43%
Braves vs. Cubs Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 93, or 64.6%, of the 144 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season Atlanta has won 67 of its 91 games, or 73.6%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 61.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (44.6%) in those games.
- Chicago has a win-loss record of 9-9 when favored by +133 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 42.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves have a 5-5 record from the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times.
- The Braves have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
HR | 18 |
ERA | 6.65 |
K/9 | 8.1 |
Braves Player Insights
- Acuna is the Braves best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .335 clip along with 41 homers and 103 RBI.
- Among all MLB batters, Acuna is third in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
- Acuna carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .356 with two doubles, a triple, five home runs, a walk and eight RBI.
- Matt Olson's 53 home runs and 134 RBI are both team-highs.
- Among all MLB batters, Olson is first in homers and first in RBI.
- Olson carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
- Ozzie Albies is batting .275 with 30 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 42 walks.
- Albies has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .391 with four doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
- Austin Riley is hitting .282 with 30 doubles, two triples, 37 home runs and 57 walks.
Braves Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sean Murphy | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+145) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+165) |
Ozzie Albies | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+145) |
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 1.5 (+140) | 1.5 (-145) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+160) |
Austin Riley | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+140) |
Travis d'Arnaud | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+170) |
Learn more about this Braves vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.
Cubs Recent Betting Performance
- Over the past 10 games, the Cubs have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Cubs have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Cubs Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 4-6 |
Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
HR | 14 |
ERA | 4.69 |
K/9 | 10.1 |
Cubs Player Insights
- Bellinger paces the Cubs with 26 home runs and 96 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .309.
- Bellinger's home run total places him 38th in the big leagues, and he is 19th in RBI.
- Nico Hoerner is batting .287 with 27 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 49 walks.
- Hoerner is 231st among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 92nd in RBI.
- Ian Happ is batting .246 with 34 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 98 walks.
- Seiya Suzuki is batting .284 with 29 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 56 walks.
Cubs Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dansby Swanson | 0.5 (-208) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+165) |
Cody Bellinger | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+130) |
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+160) |
Nico Hoerner | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+195) |
Ian Happ | 0.5 (-208) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+150) |
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