Braves vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2023 7:07 p.m. ET

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Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves will see Marcus Stroman on the hill for the Chicago Cubs in the final game of a three-game series, Thursday at 7:20 PM ET. The Braves are -142 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Cubs (+121). Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's total has been listed at 9.5 runs.

The Braves will start AJ Smith-Shawver (1-0) against the Cubs and Stroman (10-8).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Cubs game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to Watch on TV: BSSO

Braves vs. Cubs Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 6, Cubs 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 55%, Cubs 45%

Braves vs. Cubs Betting Insights

• The Braves have won 94, or 64.8%, of the 145 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has a record of 79-33, a 70.5% win rate, when favored by -142 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 58.7%.
• The Cubs have won in 29, or 43.9%, of the 66 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Chicago has been victorious 14 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and went 6-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over eight times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Braves are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Acuna leads the Braves with a team-best batting average of .336.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Acuna is fifth in homers and ninth in RBI.
• Acuna carries an 11-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .378 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
• Matt Olson has put his power on display as he paces his team with 53 home runs and 134 RBI.
• Including all MLB hitters, Olson ranks first in homers and first in RBI.
• Olson carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, four walks and two RBI.
• Ozzie Albies has 30 doubles, four triples, 33 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .278.
• Albies has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Austin Riley is hitting .280 with 30 doubles, two triples, 37 home runs and 58 walks.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Cubs have been underdogs twice and lost both contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Cubs have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Cody Bellinger leads the squad with a batting average of .310, while pacing the Cubs in home runs, with 26 and runs batted in with 96.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Bellinger's home run total ranks 38th and his RBI tally ranks 22nd.
• Nico Hoerner is batting .284 with 27 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 49 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Hoerner is 234th in home runs and 93rd in RBI.
• Ian Happ is batting .248 with 34 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 98 walks.
• Seiya Suzuki has 29 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 57 walks while batting .282.

Cubs Team Props

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