Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Updated Jul. 11, 2024 9:01 p.m. ET

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Ozzie Albies and the Atlanta Braves play Christian Walker and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday at 9:40 PM ET, in the final of a four-game series at Chase Field. Oddsmakers list the Braves as -119 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Diamondbacks -101 moneyline odds to win. Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for this contest (with -105 odds to hit the over and -115 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday, July 10.

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Braves 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Diamondbacks 49%

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Braves have won 47, or 58.8%, of the 80 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has a record of 44-33, a 57.1% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• The Diamondbacks have come away with 21 wins in the 50 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Arizona has come away with a win 18 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 50.2% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

ATL 0 · AZ 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Atlanta Braves

ATL

-1.5

-118

O 8

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

+1.5

-102

U 8

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves were favored on the moneyline for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 5-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Braves' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Not only does Marcell Ozuna lead the Braves in hitting with his .296 average, he also is their premier power option with 24 home runs and 75 RBI.
• Ozuna's home runs rank him fourth in MLB, and he ranks third in RBI.
• Ozuna carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Albies has 24 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 23 walks while hitting .257.
• Of all MLB hitters, Albies is 132nd in homers and 59th in RBI.
• Austin Riley is hitting .259 with 19 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 30 walks.
• Riley is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Matt Olson has 21 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .237.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over twice.
• The Diamondbacks are 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Ketel Marte leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .283.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Marte is 15th in homers and 32nd in RBI.
• Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 22 home runs and 66 RBI.
• Walker ranks seventh in homers and sixth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 14 walks while hitting .266.
• Corbin Carroll has 16 doubles, six triples, three home runs and 38 walks while batting .211.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday, July 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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