Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 18

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 18

Updated Jul. 18, 2023 7:07 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves will try to find success against Zach Davies when he takes the mound for the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday at 7:20 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Braves as -191 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Diamondbacks +159 moneyline odds to win. Atlanta (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 10.5 runs for this game.

The scheduled starters are Bryce Elder (7-2) for the Atlanta Braves, and Davies (1-5) for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, July 18, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSO
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -191 +159 10.5 -108 -112 -1.5 -107 -112

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Diamondbacks 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities:

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 80 games this season and won 53 (66.2%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has a record of 23-7, a 76.7% win rate, when favored by -191 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 65.6%.
  • The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 24, or 48%, of the 50 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Arizona has won four of seven games when listed as at least +159 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 38.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Braves have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5
HR 18
ERA 3.53
K/9 8.2

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Braves Player Insights

  • Acuna is the Braves best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .333 rate along with 23 homers and 58 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Acuna's home run total ranks him ninth, and his RBI tally ranks him 17th.
  • Acuna has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, five walks and four RBI.
  • Matt Olson's 30 home runs and 77 RBI both lead his team.
  • Among all major league batters, Olson is second in homers and second in RBI.
  • Olson has seven straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies has 16 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 27 walks while batting .266.
  • Austin Riley is hitting .264 with 17 doubles, 16 home runs and 34 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+120)
Eddie Rosario 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+160)
Sean Murphy 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+115)
Orlando Arcia 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+165)
Michael Harris II 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs six times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
  • The Diamondbacks have won two of their last 10 games against the spread.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 9
ERA 5.07
K/9 8.8

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll has a team-best batting average of .288, and leads the Diamondbacks in long balls with 18.
  • Carroll's home run total puts him 20th in the majors, and he is 58th in RBI.
  • Ketel Marte has 16 doubles, four triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks while batting .282.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Marte is 44th in home runs and 63rd in RBI.
  • Christian Walker has been a significant run producer for the Diamondbacks with 18 home runs and 58 runs batted in.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .270 with 21 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Walker 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+125)
Ketel Marte 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Jake McCarthy 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+215)
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+265)

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