Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Updated Jul. 19, 2023 7:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves versus Arizona Diamondbacks game on Wednesday at 7:20 PM ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Sean Murphy and Christian Walker. The favored Braves have -230 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +190. Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 10 runs for this matchup.

The Atlanta Braves will hand the ball to Charlie Morton (10-6, 3.20 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Diamondbacks will turn to Ryne Nelson (5-5, 4.98 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 19, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
How to Watch on TV: BSSO

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-230	+190	10	-110	-111	-1.5	-122	+101

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 5, Diamondbacks 3
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities:

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Braves have been favorites in 81 games this season and won 53 (65.4%) of those contests.
This season Atlanta has won 16 of its 21 games, or 76.2%, when favored by at least -230 on the moneyline.
The Braves have a 69.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have come away with 25 wins in the 51 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, Arizona has won one of three games when listed as at least +190 or worse on the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 34.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Braves combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
The Braves are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	18
ERA	4.64
K/9	7.7

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Braves Player Insights

The Braves best hitter so far this season is Ronald Acuna Jr., who's hitting at a team-leading .334 clip along with 23 homers and 58 RBI.
In all of MLB, Acuna ranks ninth in homers and 21st in RBI.
Acuna carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two home runs, four walks and three RBI.
Matt Olson has hit 30 home runs with 77 RBI. Both pace his team.
Olson ranks second in home runs and second in RBI among all batters in baseball.
Ozzie Albies is hitting .266 with 17 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 28 walks.
Austin Riley is hitting .268 with 18 doubles, 18 home runs and 34 walks.

Braves Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ronald Acuña Jr.	1.5 (+115)	2.5 (+120)	0.5 (+225)	0.5 (+105)
Eddie Rosario	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+155)
Austin Riley	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-130)	0.5 (+240)	0.5 (+100)
Orlando Arcia	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+190)
Matt Olson	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-154)	0.5 (+195)	0.5 (-125)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Diamondbacks had a record of 1-5.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
Over their last 10 games, the Diamondbacks are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	11
ERA	5.83
K/9	7.9

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .289.
In all of the big leagues, Carroll ranks 22nd in homers and 51st in RBI.
Walker has hit 20 home runs with 63 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
Walker is 16th in home runs and 11th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Ketel Marte is hitting .286 with 18 doubles, four triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .265 with 21 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Gabriel Moreno	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+225)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+155)
Jake McCarthy	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+245)
Ketel Marte	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)

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