Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 20

Updated Jul. 20, 2023 12:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Sean Murphy and the Atlanta Braves hit the field against Christian Walker and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday at 12:20 PM ET, in the final of a three-game series at Truist Park. Bookmakers list the Braves as -202 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Diamondbacks +169 moneyline odds. Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +104 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs.

The Atlanta Braves will give the start to Spencer Strider (11-3, 3.74 ERA), who is looking for win No. 12 on the season, and the Diamondbacks will turn to Zac Gallen (11-4, 3.14 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, July 20, 2023 at 12:20 PM ET
Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
How to Watch on TV: BSSO

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-202	+169	9	-110	-111	-1.5	+104	-125

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 5, Diamondbacks 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities:

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

This season, the Braves have won 53 out of the 82 games, or 64.6%, in which they've been favored.
This season Atlanta has won 21 of its 28 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -202 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 66.9%.
The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (50%) in those contests.
Arizona has a win-loss record of 3-3 when favored by +169 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 37.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves went 3-5 across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
The Braves have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	17
ERA	4.94
K/9	8.2

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Braves Player Insights

Ronald Acuna Jr.'s .333 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes 23 homers and driven in 58 RBI.
Acuna is ninth in homers and 24th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
Acuna has collected a hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with a double, two home runs, four walks and three RBI.
Matt Olson has hit 30 home runs with 77 RBI. Both pace his team.
Including all major league hitters, Olson is second in home runs and second in RBI.
Ozzie Albies has 17 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .263.
Austin Riley is batting .268 with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 34 walks.
Riley is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, three home runs, three walks and nine RBI.

Braves Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Austin Riley	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+125)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	1.5 (+140)	1.5 (-141)	0.5 (+295)	0.5 (+130)
Matt Olson	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+255)	0.5 (+115)
Marcell Ozuna	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+145)
Ozzie Albies	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 2-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Diamondbacks are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	8
ERA	5.32
K/9	7.6

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .286.
In all of MLB, Carroll ranks 25th in home runs and 53rd in RBI.
Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 20 home runs and 63 runs batted in.
Walker is 16th in home runs and 12th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
Ketel Marte has 18 doubles, four triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .282.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .264 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Christian Walker	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+145)
Ketel Marte	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+195)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+165)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Carson Kelly	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+260)

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