Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 15

Updated Sep. 15, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins will play on Friday at LoanDepot park, at 6:40 PM ET, with Matt Olson and Luis Arraez among those expected to produce at the plate. The Marlins are +144 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Braves (-171). Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for the game (with -112 odds on the over and -107 odds on the under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Atlanta Braves looking to Bryce Elder (12-4), and Johnny Cueto (1-4) answering the bell for the Miami Marlins.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 15, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-171	+144	9	-112	-107	-1.5	-108	-112

Braves vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 6, Marlins 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Marlins 47%

Braves vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Braves have entered the game as favorites 133 times this season and won 88, or 66.2%, of those games.
Atlanta has entered 72 games this season favored by -171 or more and is 51-21 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 63.1%.
The Marlins have won in 34, or 43.6%, of the 78 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Miami has won eight of 21 games when listed as at least +144 or worse on the moneyline.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves have a 6-4 record from the 10 games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Braves have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.3
HR	23
ERA	5.84
K/9	11

Braves Player Insights

Ronald Acuna Jr.'s .335 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes 37 homers and driven in 97 RBI.
Of all batters in MLB, Acuna's home run total places him sixth, and his RBI tally puts him eighth.
Acuna has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
Olson has hit 51 home runs with 128 RBI. Both pace his team.
Olson ranks first in homers in baseball, and first in RBI.
Austin Riley has 27 doubles, two triples, 35 home runs and 51 walks while hitting .278.
Riley will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a triple, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
Ozzie Albies is hitting .265 with 23 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 40 walks.

Learn more about this Braves vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.4
HR	12
ERA	5.02
K/9	9.5

Marlins Player Insights

Arraez leads the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .349.
Among all hitters in the majors, Arraez's home run total is 263rd and his RBI tally ranks 91st.
Arraez carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a double, a home run and an RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 74 RBI.
De La Cruz is 85th in homers and 54th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Josh Bell has 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 57 walks while batting .242.
Jake Burger is batting .239 with 24 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 29 walks.