Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves will meet Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins on Saturday at LoanDepot park, at 4:10 PM ET. The Braves are the favorite in this one, at -118, while the underdog Marlins have -102 odds to upset. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +135 odds). The over/under is 9.5 runs for this contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Atlanta Braves looking to Jared Shuster (4-3), and Bryan Hoeing (2-2) taking the ball for the Miami Marlins.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-118	-102	9.5	-112	-108	-1.5	+135	-159

Braves vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 6, Marlins 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Marlins 47%

Braves vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Braves have entered the game as favorites 134 times this season and won 88, or 65.7%, of those games.
Atlanta is 87-42 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Braves.
The Marlins have been underdogs in 79 games this season and have come away with the win 35 times (44.3%) in those contests.
This year, Miami has won 28 of 69 games when listed as at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and went 6-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Braves have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.3
HR	20
ERA	5.80
K/9	10.8

Braves Player Insights

Ronald Acuna Jr.'s .337 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes 37 homers and driven in 98 RBI.
Among all MLB hitters, Acuna ranks fourth in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
Acuna carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
Olson has shown his power as he paces his team with 51 home runs and 128 RBI.
Olson is first in home runs in baseball, and first in RBI.
Austin Riley has 28 doubles, two triples, 35 home runs and 51 walks while batting .279.
Riley has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with a double, a triple, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
Ozzie Albies is batting .266 with 23 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 40 walks.
Albies has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .273 with two doubles, two walks and three RBI.

Learn more about this Braves vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	10
ERA	5.34
K/9	9.1

Marlins Player Insights

Arraez paces the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .349.
Among all batters in the big leagues, Arraez ranks 223rd in home runs and 84th in RBI.
Arraez has collected a hit in six straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .256 with two doubles, three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has racked up 75 runs batted in to pace his team.
De La Cruz is currently 89th in home runs and 51st in RBI in the major leagues.
Jake Burger has 25 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 29 walks while batting .240.
Josh Bell has 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 57 walks while batting .240.