Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Updated Sep. 20, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Michael Harris II and the Atlanta Braves will play Jesus Sanchez and the Miami Marlins at LoanDepot park in the first of a three-game series, on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Marlins are +181 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Braves (-220). Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Braves vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Marlins 46%

Braves vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 121 times this season and won 68, or 56.2%, of those games.
• Atlanta is 18-8 this season when entering a game favored by -220 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.8% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 136 games this year and have walked away with the win 52 times (38.2%) in those games.
• This season, Miami has been victorious 10 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +181 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 35.6% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

ATL 3 · MIA 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Atlanta Braves

ATL

-1.5

-221

O 9

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+182

U 9

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Braves' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves in home runs (38), runs batted in (101) and has racked up a team-high batting average of .306.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Ozuna is fifth in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Ozuna carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Matt Olson has 37 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 65 walks while hitting .243.
• Olson ranks 24th in homers and 17th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Olson heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with a double, three home runs, seven walks and eight RBI.
• Jorge Soler is batting .240 with 31 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 65 walks.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .258 with 28 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks.
• Albies is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .316 with three doubles, a walk and two RBI.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 2-8.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Marlins have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Jake Burger has a team-high 27 home runs and has driven in 67 runs.
• Burger's home run total puts him 28th in MLB, and he is 72nd in RBI.
• Sanchez is batting .247 to lead the lineup.
• Sanchez ranks 102nd among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 86th in RBI.
• Otto Lopez is hitting .263 with 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks.
• Xavier Edwards has nine doubles, two triples, a home run and 28 walks while hitting .319.

Marlins Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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