Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Published Sep. 20, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Max Fried takes the mound for the Atlanta Braves on Saturday against Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET at LoanDepot park. The favored Braves have -235 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +194. Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -150 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with -124 odds on the over and +102 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-235	+194	7.5	-124	+102	-1.5	-150	+125

Braves vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Marlins 46%

Braves vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Braves have won 68 out of the 121 games, or 56.2%, in which they've been favored.
Atlanta is 14-5 this season when entering a game favored by -235 or more on the moneyline.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 70.1% chance of a victory for the Braves.
The Marlins have won in 52, or 38.2%, of the 136 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Miami has come away with a win seven times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +194 or worse on the moneyline.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 34% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves have a 4-3 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Braves are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.8
HR	17
ERA	3.68
K/9	9.7

Braves Player Insights

Marcell Ozuna paces the Braves in home runs (38), runs batted in (101) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .306.
In all of the majors, Ozuna is fifth in homers and 11th in RBI.
Ozuna brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
Matt Olson is hitting .243 with 37 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 65 walks.
Olson ranks 24th in home runs in MLB, and 17th in RBI.
Olson heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with a double, three home runs, seven walks and eight RBI.
Jorge Soler is hitting .240 with 31 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 65 walks.
Ozzie Albies is batting .258 with 28 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks.
Albies has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with three doubles, a walk and two RBI.

Learn more about this Braves vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Marlins have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	7
ERA	6.21
K/9	7.5

Marlins Player Insights

Burger paces the Marlins with 27 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 67.
Burger's home run total puts him 28th in MLB, and he is 72nd in RBI.
Jesus Sanchez has a club-best .247 batting average.
Sanchez is 102nd in homers and 86th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Otto Lopez is hitting .263 with 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks.
Xavier Edwards is batting .319 with nine doubles, two triples, a home run and 28 walks.

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