Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22

Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22

Updated Sep. 22, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves and Michael Harris II will square off against Jonah Bride and the Miami Marlins at LoanDepot park on Sunday, with the first pitch at 1:40 p.m. ET. The Braves are the favorite in this one, at -198, while the underdog Marlins have +164 odds to win. Atlanta (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The game's over/under is set at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins.
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Braves vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, September 22, 2024 at 1:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -198 +164 9 -107 -114 -1.5 -122 +102

Braves vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Marlins 47%

Braves vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 123 games this season and won 69 (56.1%) of those contests.
  • This season Atlanta has won 31 of its 44 games, or 70.5%, when favored by at least -198 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 66.4% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Marlins have won in 53, or 38.4%, of the 138 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Miami has won 16 of 47 games when listed as at least +164 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 37.9% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
ATL 5 · MIA 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Miami Marlins
MIA

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Braves' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 18
ERA 4.14
K/9 9.5

Braves Player Insights

  • Marcell Ozuna has put up a team-high batting average of .310, and leads the Braves in home runs (38) and runs batted in (101).
  • Ozuna ranks fifth in homers and 11th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Ozuna brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .550 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Matt Olson is batting .243 with 37 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 68 walks.
  • Including all MLB batters, Olson ranks 22nd in homers and 15th in RBI.
  • Jorge Soler has 31 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 65 walks while hitting .238.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .253 with 28 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Gio Urshela 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+160)
Michael Harris II 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+160)
Matt Olson 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+100)
Ramón Laureano 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+165)
Jorge Soler 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 3-7.
  • The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 7
ERA 6.28
K/9 7.7

Marlins Player Insights

  • Jake Burger paces the Marlins in home runs (27) and runs batted in (68).
  • Burger ranks 28th in home runs and 71st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Burger has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
  • Jesus Sanchez has a club-leading .247 batting average.
  • Sanchez ranks 105th overall in homers and 92nd in RBI this season.
  • Otto Lopez is batting .260 with 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks.
  • Xavier Edwards has nine doubles, two triples, a home run and 28 walks while batting .318.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Otto Lopez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+220)
Connor Norby 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+160)
Xavier Edwards 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+300)
Jesús Sánchez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+180)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+135)

Braves vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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