Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Michael Harris II and the Atlanta Braves will take on the New York Mets and Francisco Lindor at Citi Field on Friday at 7:10 PM ET. The Mets are listed as +155 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Braves (-183). Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -118 odds). A 9.5-run over/under is set for the matchup.

The Atlanta Braves will give the start to Charlie Morton (10-10, 3.86 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Mets will turn to Tylor Megill (6-5, 5.45 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-183	+155	9.5	-113	-107	-1.5	-118	-102

Braves vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 6, Mets 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Mets 47%

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

This season, the Braves have been favored 101 times and won 64, or 63.4%, of those games.
Atlanta has entered 43 games this season favored by -183 or more and is 31-12 in those contests.
The Braves have a 64.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Mets have come away with 11 wins in the 41 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, New York has been a moneyline underdog of -183 or longer four times, losing every contest.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 39.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves went 5-5 across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Braves have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	6.1
HR	18
ERA	4.81
K/9	9.7

Place your bets on Braves vs. Mets now with FOX Bet!

Braves Player Insights

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Braves with a team-high batting average of .340.
Acuna's home runs rank him 10th in MLB, and he is 23rd in RBI.
Acuna has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
Matt Olson has hit 40 home runs with 101 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
Olson is first in home runs and first in RBI on the year.
Ozzie Albies is batting .263 with 21 doubles, four triples, 26 home runs and 33 walks.
Albies has at least one base hit in nine straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .311 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
Austin Riley is hitting .279 with 22 doubles, a triple, 26 home runs and 39 walks.
Riley has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .318 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.

Braves Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Sean Murphy	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)
Marcell Ozuna	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+135)
Eddie Rosario	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+155)
Travis d'Arnaud	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+160)
Ozzie Albies	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Mets have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	11
ERA	4.86
K/9	8.9

Mets Player Insights

Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 35 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 87.
Alonso is third in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Alonso has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a double, four home runs, three walks and 10 RBI.
Lindor is batting .246 with 25 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 50 walks.
Lindor is 23rd in homers and 26th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a team-best batting average of .253.
Jeff McNeil paces the Mets with a .253 batting average.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+180)
Brandon Nimmo	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+225)
Jeff McNeil	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+165)
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+150)
Abraham Almonte	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+220)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Braves vs Mets!

Download the FOX Super 6 app for your chance to win thousands of dollars on the biggest sporting events each and every week! Just make your picks and you could win the grand prize. Download and play today!