Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 12

Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 12

Updated Aug. 12, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves take the field on Saturday at Citi Field against Denyi Reyes, who is starting for the New York Mets. First pitch is set for 1:10 PM ET for the second game of a four-game series. Oddsmakers list the Braves as -226 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Mets +186 moneyline odds. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest is set at 8 runs.

The scheduled starters are Allan Winans for the Atlanta Braves, and Reyes for the New York Mets.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, August 12, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -226 +186 8 -112 -107 -1.5 -137 +114

Braves vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 8, Mets 7
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 52%, Mets 48%

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 65 out of the 102 games, or 63.7%, in which they've been favored.
  • Atlanta has a record of 19-7 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -226 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 69.3%.
  • The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 42 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (26.2%) in those games.
  • Oddsmakers have given New York the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +186 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 35% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have a 6-4 record across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Braves have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.7
HR 18
ERA 4.40
K/9 9.3

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Braves Player Insights

  • Acuna's .337 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes 26 homers and driven in 70 RBI.
  • Acuna's home runs place him 11th in MLB, and he is 25th in RBI.
  • Matt Olson's 40 home runs and 101 runs batted in both lead his team.
  • Of all major league hitters, Olson ranks first in homers and first in RBI.
  • Olson enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a home run, six walks and four RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is hitting .263 with 21 doubles, four triples, 26 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Albies will look to build on his 10-game hitting in this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .326 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
  • Austin Riley has 23 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .284.
  • Riley has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .476 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ozzie Albies 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+110)
Orlando Arcia 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+200)
Eddie Rosario 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+155)
Austin Riley 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+285) 0.5 (+100)
Sean Murphy 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Mets had a record of 1-6.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mets have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 10
ERA 5.39
K/9 8.2

Mets Player Insights

  • Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 35 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 87.
  • Alonso is third in home runs and third in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Francisco Lindor has 25 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 50 walks while batting .246.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Lindor is 24th in homers and 27th in RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a team-best batting average of .254.
  • Jeff McNeil is hitting .253 with 16 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+190)
Abraham Almonte 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+185)
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+160)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+160)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+145)

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