Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 21

Updated Aug. 21, 2023 7:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets take the field on Monday at Truist Park against Allan Winans, who is projected to start for the Atlanta Braves. First pitch will be at 7:20 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Braves as -225 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Mets +185 moneyline odds to win. Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -118 odds). The total for the game is set at 10.5 runs.

The scheduled starters are Winans for the Atlanta Braves, and David Peterson (3-7) for the New York Mets.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, August 21, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
How to Watch on TV: BSSO

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-225	+185	10.5	-111	-109	-1.5	-118	-102

Braves vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mets 3
Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 60%, Mets 40%

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

The Braves have won 72, or 64.9%, of the 111 games they've played as favorites this season.
Atlanta is 22-8 this season when entering a game favored by -225 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
The Mets have been underdogs in 47 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (27.7%) in those contests.
New York has played as an underdog of +185 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
The Mets have an implied victory probability of 35.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves played as the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they went 8-2 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Braves combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
The Braves have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	7.1
HR	18
ERA	2.12
K/9	9.4

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Braves Player Insights

Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-best batting average of .331.
Among all MLB hitters, Acuna is third in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
Matt Olson has hit 43 home runs with 108 RBI. Both lead his team.
Olson ranks first in homers and first in RBI among all major league batters this year.
Austin Riley is hitting .281 with 25 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 43 walks.
Riley has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
Marcell Ozuna is hitting .251 with 17 doubles, 24 home runs and 42 walks.

Braves Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Travis d'Arnaud	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+165)
Austin Riley	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (-110)
Matt Olson	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+295)	0.5 (+105)
Sean Murphy	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+155)
Marcell Ozuna	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Mets are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	18
ERA	5.66
K/9	8

Mets Player Insights

Alonso paces the Mets with 39 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 94.
Among all hitters in the majors, Alonso's home run total ranks third and his RBI tally ranks second.
Francisco Lindor is hitting .252 with 28 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 51 walks.
Lindor is currently 29th in homers and 26th in RBI in the big leagues.
Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets' lineup with a .268 batting average.
Jeff McNeil is hitting .263 with 19 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 34 walks.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+130)
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+125)
Jeff McNeil	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+145)
Brandon Nimmo	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+185)
Daniel Vogelbach	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)

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