Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Updated Aug. 23, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Charlie Morton and the Atlanta Braves will take the field against the New York Mets and projected starter Jose Quintana on Wednesday at Truist Park. The favored Braves have -203 moneyline odds against the underdog Mets, who are listed at +169. Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at -104 odds). The total is 10 runs for the contest (with -109 odds to go over and -111 odds to go under).

The Braves will start Morton (12-10) versus the Mets and Quintana (1-4).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, August 23, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -203 +169 10 -109 -111 -1.5 -104 -116

Braves vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mets 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 60%, Mets 40%

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 113 games this season and won 73 (64.6%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has entered 42 games this season favored by -203 or more and is 31-11 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 67% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Mets have been underdogs in 49 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (28.6%) in those contests.
  • This year, New York has won one of five games when listed as at least +169 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have a 7-3 record over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Braves combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
  • The Braves have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5
HR 15
ERA 3.03
K/9 9.3

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Braves Player Insights

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. is the Braves best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .333 clip along with 28 homers and 74 RBI.
  • Acuna's home runs rank him 12th in MLB, and he ranks 29th in RBI.
  • Acuna carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Matt Olson has hit 43 home runs with 108 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
  • Olson is first in homers and first in RBI in the majors.
  • Austin Riley is hitting .277 with 25 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 43 walks.
  • Marcell Ozuna is hitting .260 with 18 doubles, 27 home runs and 43 walks.
  • Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .474 with a double, three home runs, a walk and three RBI.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kevin Pillar 0.5 (-294) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+125)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+125)
Matt Olson 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+285) 0.5 (+115)
Sean Murphy 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+150)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Mets have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.5
HR 21
ERA 3.78
K/9 8.6

Mets Player Insights

  • Pete Alonso paces the Mets in home runs (39) and runs batted in (95).
  • Alonso ranks third in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .254 with 29 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 52 walks.
  • Among all MLB batters, Lindor is 28th in home runs and 20th in RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .267 with 20 doubles, four triples, 18 home runs and 63 walks.
  • Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with a team-leading batting average of .268.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+150)
Jeff McNeil 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+175)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+165)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+230)
Rafael Ortega 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+255)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Braves vs Mets!

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