Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Austin Riley and the Atlanta Braves will try to defeat Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets at Citi Field on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Braves as -159 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mets +133 moneyline odds to win. Atlanta (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The matchup's total is set at 7 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets game on Friday, May 10.

Braves vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: BSSE

Braves vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 50%, Mets 50%

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 33 times and won 23, or 69.7%, of those games.
• Atlanta has entered 22 games this season favored by -159 or more and is 15-7 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 61.4%.
• The Mets have won in seven, or 41.2%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• New York has a win-loss record of 4-2 when favored by +133 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 42.9% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

ATL 4 · NYM 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Atlanta Braves

ATL

-1.5

-159

O 7

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+133

U 7

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Braves combined with their opponents to go over the total one time.
• The Braves have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna has a team-best batting average of .313, and leads the Braves in home runs (12) and runs batted in (38).
• Among all batters in baseball, Ozuna's home run total ranks him first, and his RBI tally ranks him first.
• Ozuna carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .259 with six doubles, three home runs and 20 walks.
• Acuna is 126th in homers and 223rd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .291 with nine doubles, three home runs and nine walks.
• Albies has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .118 with a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Riley is batting .246 with eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 13 walks.
• Riley is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .278 with two walks and an RBI.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Mets have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Lindor is hitting .212 with seven doubles, seven home runs and 13 walks.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Lindor's home run total ranks 31st and his RBI tally ranks 45th.
• Brandon Nimmo has driven in the most runs for the Mets with 25 runs batted in.
• Nimmo ranks 60th in homers and 25th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Pete Alonso has nine home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Starling Marte paces the Mets with a .263 batting average.

Mets Team Props

Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets game on Friday, May 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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