Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2024 7:04 a.m. ET

Michael Harris II and Brandon Nimmo will look to continue their recent offensive production when the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets play at Truist Park on Monday, at 1:10 p.m. ET. The favored Braves have -175 moneyline odds against the underdog Mets, who are listed at +145. Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The matchup's over/under has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Royals vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

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Braves vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, September 30, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -175 +145 7.5 -111 -111 -1.5 +115 -135

Braves vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Mets 47%

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 73 out of the 128 games, or 57%, in which they've been favored.
  • Atlanta has entered 57 games this season favored by -175 or more and is 38-19 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 63.6%.
  • The Mets have won in 27, or 44.3%, of the 61 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, New York has been victorious three times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +145 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 40.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and they went 7-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Braves have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 23
ERA 2.45
K/9 10.4

Braves Player Insights

  • Not only does Marcell Ozuna lead the Braves in hitting with his .304 average, he also is their premier power option with 39 home runs and 102 RBI.
  • Ozuna's home runs rank him fifth in the majors, and he is 13th in RBI.
  • Matt Olson is hitting .247 with 37 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 71 walks.
  • Olson is 24th in homers and 18th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Olson carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with three walks and an RBI.
  • Jorge Soler is batting .240 with 32 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 68 walks.
  • Harris has 14 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .266.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jorge Soler 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+155)
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+165)
Gio Urshela 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+180)
Matt Olson 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) - -
Travis d'Arnaud 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) - -

Learn more about this Braves vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 1-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Mets have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5
HR 16
ERA 3.93
K/9 10.3

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor has a team-leading batting average of .272 and leads the Mets in runs batted in with a mark of 88.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Lindor is 15th in home runs and 27th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 34 home runs and 88 runs batted in.
  • Alonso is 12th among all batters in the majors in homers, and 27th in RBI.
  • Nimmo leads the Mets with 88 runs batted in.
  • Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .253.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+120) - -
José Iglesias 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+230)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+105) - -
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) - 0.5 (+160)
Starling Marte 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) - 0.5 (+300)

Royals vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Kansas City Royals and the Atlanta Braves.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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