Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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The Atlanta Braves versus New York Mets game on Monday at 1:10 p.m. ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Michael Harris II and Luisangel Acuna. The Mets are +130 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Braves (-149). Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 30, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN2

Braves vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Mets 47%

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Braves have won 73, or 57%, of the 128 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has a record of 47-34 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -149 on the moneyline.
• The Braves have a 59.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Mets have come away with 27 wins in the 61 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• New York has a mark of 8-6 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +130 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and went 7-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Braves are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna is the bat to watch in the Braves lineup, leading the team in batting average (.304), home runs (39), and RBI (102).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Ozuna's home run total places him fifth, and his RBI tally puts him 13th.
• Matt Olson is batting .247 with 37 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 71 walks.
• Olson is 24th in home runs and 18th in RBI in the bigs.
• Olson has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with three walks and an RBI.
• Jorge Soler is batting .240 with 32 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 68 walks.
• Harris has 14 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .266.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 1-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Mets have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• The Mets are led in runs batted in by Francisco Lindor with a mark of 88, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .272.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Lindor's home run total ranks 15th and his RBI tally ranks 27th.
• Pete Alonso has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 34 home runs and 88 runs batted in.
• Alonso ranks 12th overall in homers and 27th in RBI this season.
• Brandon Nimmo paces the Mets with 88 runs batted in.
• Jesse Winker is hitting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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