Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2023 3:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves will look to find success against Jackson Rutledge when he takes the mound for the Washington Nationals on Sunday at 3:10 PM ET. The Nationals are +187 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Braves (-229). Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at -122 odds). The total for the game has been set at 10.5 runs.

The starting pitchers are Dylan Dodd for the Atlanta Braves, and Rutledge (1-1) for the Washington Nationals.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:10 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSE
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -229 +187 10.5 -119 -101 -1.5 -122 +101

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 6, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 59%, Nationals 41%

Braves vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 148 games this season and won 96 (64.9%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has a record of 30-11 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -229 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Nationals have been victorious in 59, or 40.1%, of the 147 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Washington has won 15 of 39 games when listed as at least +187 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 34.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves went 7-3 over the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Braves are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.3
HR 14
ERA 4.55
K/9 7.8

Braves Player Insights

  • Acuna leads the Braves with a .338 batting average.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Acuna ranks fifth in homers and eighth in RBI.
  • Acuna has collected a hit in 14 games in a row. In his last 10 games he is batting .366 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
  • Matt Olson's 54 home runs and 137 runs batted in are both team-highs.
  • Olson is first in home runs and first in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Olson heads into this game looking for his eighth game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .324 with a double, two home runs, five walks and seven RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .278 with 30 doubles, five triples, 33 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Albies will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .409 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Austin Riley is hitting .282 with 32 doubles, three triples, 37 home runs and 59 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Olson 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+115)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1.5 (+110) 1.5 (-164) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+130)
Marcell Ozuna 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+105)
Austin Riley 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+105)
Travis d'Arnaud 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 12
ERA 5.28
K/9 8

Nationals Player Insights

  • Lane Thomas leads the Nationals with 28 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Thomas' home run total ranks 34th and his RBI tally is 41st.
  • C.J. Abrams is hitting .244 with 28 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Abrams is 111th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 114th in RBI.
  • Joey Meneses paces the Nationals in runs batted in (88) and has a team-high batting average of .276.
  • Keibert Ruiz is batting .259 with 23 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Keibert Ruiz 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+155)
Joey Meneses 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+190)
Dominic Smith 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+185)
Lane Thomas 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+150)
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