Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Updated Sep. 21, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals will play on Thursday at Nationals Park, at 7:05 PM ET, with Matt Olson and C.J. Abrams among those expected to produce at the plate. The Braves are -273 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Nationals (+221). Atlanta (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for this contest (with +100 odds on the over and -120 odds on the under).

The Braves will start Max Fried (7-1) against the Nationals and Jake Irvin (3-6).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 6, Nationals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Nationals 46%

Braves vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 139 times and won 89, or 64%, of those games.
• This season Atlanta has won eight of its 12 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -273 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 73.2% chance to win.
• The Nationals have been underdogs in 139 games this season and have come away with the win 57 times (41%) in those contests.
• This year, Washington has won five of 10 games when listed as at least +221 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 31.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves went 4-6 over the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Braves' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Ronald Acuna Jr.'s .337 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes 39 homers and driven in 100 RBI.
• Among all batters in baseball, Acuna's home run total ranks him fifth, and his RBI tally ranks him eighth.
• Acuna carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .381 with a double, four home runs, six walks and 10 RBI.
• Olson's 52 home runs and 131 RBI both lead his team.
• Olson is first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Olson carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a home run, four walks and three RBI.
• Ozzie Albies is batting .270 with 26 doubles, four triples, 31 home runs and 41 walks.
• Albies will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .318 with five doubles, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Austin Riley is hitting .278 with 28 doubles, two triples, 36 home runs and 54 walks.
• Riley brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a home run, three walks and two RBI.

Learn more about this Braves vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Lane Thomas has hit a team-high 26 home runs.
• Thomas' home run total places him 34th in the big leagues, and he ranks 39th in RBI.
• Abrams is hitting .247 with 25 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 31 walks.
• Abrams is currently 102nd in home runs and 118th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Joey Meneses leads the Nationals with 86 runs batted in while accruing a team-best batting average of .281.
• Keibert Ruiz has 21 doubles, 17 home runs and 30 walks while batting .253.

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