Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22

Updated Sep. 22, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

C.J. Abrams and the Washington Nationals will take the field against the Atlanta Braves and starter Charlie Morton on Friday. First pitch is at 7:05 PM ET at Nationals Park. The Braves are -256 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Nationals (+209). Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the game is listed at 9 runs.

The Braves will give the ball to Morton (14-12) against the Nationals and Patrick Corbin (10-13).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-256	+209	9	-111	-109	-1.5	-153	+129

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 6, Nationals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Nationals 46%

Braves vs. Nationals Betting Insights

This season, the Braves have been favored 140 times and won 90, or 64.3%, of those games.
Atlanta has entered 19 games this season favored by -256 or more and is 13-6 in those contests.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 71.9% chance to win.
The Nationals have been underdogs in 140 games this season and have come away with the win 57 times (40.7%) in those contests.
Washington has a win-loss record of 6-11 when favored by +209 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 32.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and they went 4-6 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.
The Braves have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	18
ERA	6.95
K/9	10.1

Braves Player Insights

Ronald Acuna Jr.'s .335 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes 39 homers and driven in 100 RBI.
In all of the majors, Acuna is fifth in home runs and 10th in RBI.
Acuna takes a hitting streak of seven games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .333 with a double, a triple, four home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
Matt Olson has shown off his power as he paces his team with 53 home runs and 132 RBI.
Olson ranks first in home runs and first in RBI in the major leagues.
Olson has four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.
Ozzie Albies has 27 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .274.
Albies is on an eight-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .370 with six doubles, three home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
Austin Riley has 29 doubles, two triples, 36 home runs and 54 walks while batting .281.
Riley has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a double, three walks and two RBI.

Learn more about this Braves vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
The Nationals have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	11
ERA	5.17
K/9	7.6

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas has hit a team-best 26 home runs.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Thomas' home run total is 34th and his RBI tally ranks 39th.
Abrams is hitting .245 with 25 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 31 walks.
Abrams is 102nd among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 119th in RBI.
Joey Meneses paces the Nationals in runs batted in (86) and has a team-best batting average of .280.
Keibert Ruiz is batting .251 with 21 doubles, 17 home runs and 30 walks.