Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 7:07 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Trevor Williams will be starting for the Washington Nationals when they take on Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves on Friday at 7:20 PM ET. The Nationals are +232 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Braves (-284). Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 10-run total has been listed for the matchup.

The scheduled starters are Allan Winans (1-2) for the Atlanta Braves, and Williams (6-10) for the Washington Nationals.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSE
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -284 +232 10 -111 -109 -1.5 -134 +113

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 6, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 61%, Nationals 39%

Braves vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Braves have entered the game as favorites 146 times this season and won 95, or 65.1%, of those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 6-3 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -284 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 74% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Nationals have been underdogs in 145 games this season and have come away with the win 58 times (40%) in those contests.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 2-4 when favored by +232 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 30.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves went 7-3 across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
  • The Braves have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 16
ERA 4.45
K/9 8.3

Braves Player Insights

  • Acuna paces the Braves with a team-best batting average of .336.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Acuna ranks fifth in home runs and ninth in RBI.
  • Acuna takes a hitting streak of 12 games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .349 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs, a walk and eight RBI.
  • Matt Olson has shown his power as he leads his team with 54 home runs and 136 RBI.
  • Olson ranks first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Olson carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies has 30 doubles, four triples, 33 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .276.
  • Austin Riley is batting .283 with 31 doubles, three triples, 37 home runs and 58 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nicky Lopez 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+165) - 0.5 (+240)
Ozzie Albies 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+105)
Sean Murphy 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+150)
Michael Harris II 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+145)
Travis d'Arnaud 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and have gone 2-6 in those contests.
  • The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 9
ERA 4.70
K/9 7.1

Nationals Player Insights

  • Lane Thomas leads the Nationals with 27 home runs.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Thomas' home run total is 36th and his RBI tally ranks 40th.
  • C.J. Abrams is batting .245 with 27 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Abrams ranks 108th in homers and 112th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Joey Meneses leads the Nationals with 87 runs batted in while accruing a team-best batting average of .277.
  • Keibert Ruiz is hitting .256 with 22 doubles, 17 home runs and 31 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Garcia 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+190)
C.J. Abrams 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Dominic Smith 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+190)
Joey Meneses 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+180)
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
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