Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

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The Atlanta Braves and Matt Olson head into the second of a three-game series against C.J. Abrams and the Washington Nationals on Saturday at Truist Park. Bookmakers list the Braves as -370 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Nationals +294 moneyline odds. Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the game has been set at 9 runs.

The starting pitchers are Spencer Strider (19-5) for the Atlanta Braves, and Joan Adon (2-4) for the Washington Nationals.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to Watch on TV: BSSE

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Nationals 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 61%, Nationals 39%

Braves vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have won 95 out of the 147 games, or 64.6%, in which they've been favored.
• Atlanta has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -370 odds on them winning this game.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 78.7%.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 146 games this year and have walked away with the win 59 times (40.4%) in those games.
• Oddsmakers have given Washington the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +294 moneyline listed for this contest.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 25.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and went 7-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Braves have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Ronald Acuna Jr.'s .336 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes 41 homers and driven in 106 RBI.
• Including all MLB hitters, Acuna is third in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
• Acuna has collected a hit in 13 games in a row. In his last 10 games he is batting .333 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs and eight RBI.
• Matt Olson has hit 54 home runs with 137 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
• Olson is first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Olson has six games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .333 with a double, two home runs, seven walks and eight RBI.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .279 with 30 doubles, five triples, 33 home runs and 44 walks.
• Austin Riley is hitting .281 with 31 doubles, three triples, 37 home runs and 59 walks.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Lane Thomas leads the Nationals with 28 home runs.
• Thomas' home run total puts him 34th in the majors, and he ranks 41st in RBI.
• C.J. Abrams is hitting .243 with 27 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 32 walks.
• Abrams is 110th overall in homers and 113th in RBI this season.
• Joey Meneses paces the Nationals in runs batted in (87) and has put up a team-high batting average of .276.
• Keibert Ruiz is hitting .257 with 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks.

Nationals Team Props

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