Braves vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 17

Updated May. 17, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Max Fried gets the nod for the Atlanta Braves on Friday at Truist Park against Jackson Merrill and the San Diego Padres. First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET for the first game of a four-game series. The Padres have been listed as +181 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Braves (-222). Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8-run over/under is listed for this matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. the Chicago Cubs game on Monday, May 6.

Braves vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 7:20 PM ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to Watch on TV: BSSE

Braves vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 4, Padres 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 58%, Padres 42%

Braves vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 37 games this season and won 26 (70.3%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has a record of 6-2 when favored by -222 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 68.9% chance to win.
• The Padres have come away with eight wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Oddsmakers have given San Diego the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +181 moneyline listed for this contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 35.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

SD 3 · ATL 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+181

O 8

Atlanta Braves

ATL

-1.5

-222

U 8

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves have a 6-2 record over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total one time.
• The Braves have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna paces the Braves with 12 home runs and 41 runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .327.
• Including all MLB batters, Ozuna is seventh in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
• Ozuna has collected a hit in nine straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .382 with a double, three home runs, five walks and nine RBI.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .245 with six doubles, three home runs and 23 walks.
• Acuna ranks 155th in homers and 205th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .280 with nine doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.
• Albies will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .227 with a walk.
• Orlando Arcia is batting .250 with 12 doubles, four home runs and five walks.
• Arcia brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Padres have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• The Padres are led in runs batted in by Jurickson Profar with a mark of 29, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .322.
• Profar is 37th in homers and 15th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Profar brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .313 with a home run, four walks and two RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has put his power on display as he leads his team with eight home runs.
• Tatis is 29th in homers and 53rd in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .265 with 10 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 16 walks.
• Luis Arraez is hitting .303 with 10 doubles, a triple and 10 walks.

Padres Team Props

Cubs vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments as the Chicago Cubs took on the Atlanta Braves.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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