Braves vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 18

Braves vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 18

Updated May. 18, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Bryce Elder starts for the Atlanta Braves on Saturday at Truist Park against Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres. First pitch is at 7:15 PM ET for the second game of a four-game series. The favored Braves have -120 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Padres, who are listed at +100. Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +169 odds). The over/under for the game has been listed at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves game on Friday, May 17.
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Braves vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, May 18, 2024 at 7:15 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: FOX
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -120 +100 9 -109 -111 -1.5 +169 -203

Braves vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 56%, Padres 44%

Braves vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 26 out of the 38 games, or 68.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • Atlanta has a record of 24-12, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Padres have come away with nine wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, San Diego has won five of 12 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves were favored on the moneyline in nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 6-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Braves have not combined with their opponents to go over the total (all 10 had set totals).
  • The Braves have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 12
ERA 2.25
K/9 9.2

Braves Player Insights

  • Not only does Marcell Ozuna lead the Braves in hitting with his .325 average, he also is their premier power option with 12 home runs and 41 RBI.
  • Ozuna's home runs rank him fourth in the majors, and he ranks first in RBI.
  • Ozuna carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .412 with a double, three home runs, five walks and nine RBI.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. is hitting .247 with six doubles, three home runs and 24 walks.
  • Acuna ranks 161st in home runs in MLB, and 209th in RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies has 10 doubles, three home runs and 10 walks while hitting .279.
  • Albies has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double and a walk.
  • Matt Olson has nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 20 walks while batting .227.
  • Olson is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .471 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBI.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Olson 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+285) 0.5 (+130)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+125)
Orlando Arcia 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+210)
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+160)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Padres had a record of 3-2.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Padres have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 8
ERA 3.24
K/9 11.1

Padres Player Insights

  • The Padres are led in runs batted in by Profar with a mark of 30, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .325.
  • In all of the majors, Profar is 38th in home runs and 14th in RBI.
  • Profar has collected a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 games he is batting .257 with two home runs, five walks and seven RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.'s eight home runs are a team-high total.
  • Tatis ranks 31st overall in homers and 60th in RBI this year.
  • Jake Cronenworth has 10 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 16 walks while hitting .275.
  • Luis Arraez is batting .306 with 10 doubles, a triple and 10 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+160)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+160)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+180)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)

Padres vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves game on Friday, May 17.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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