Braves vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 19

Braves vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 19

Updated May. 19, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves and Marcell Ozuna ready for the second of a four-game series against Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres on Sunday at Truist Park. The Padres are +101 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Braves (-120). Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +162 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for the matchup (with +100 odds to hit the over and -120 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves game on Friday, May 17.
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Braves vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -120 +101 9 +100 -120 -1.5 +162 -196

Braves vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 56%, Padres 44%

Braves vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 26 out of the 38 games, or 68.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • Atlanta has a record of 24-12, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Braves have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Padres have been victorious in nine, or 47.4%, of the 19 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • San Diego has a mark of 5-7 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
SD 9 · ATL 1
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Atlanta Braves
ATL

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 6-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Braves never combined with their opponents to go over the total.
  • The Braves have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 12
ERA 2.25
K/9 9.2

Braves Player Insights

  • Ozuna has put up a team-high batting average of .325, while pacing the Braves in home runs (12) and runs batted in (41).
  • In all of the majors, Ozuna is fifth in home runs and second in RBI.
  • Ozuna carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .412 with a double, three home runs, five walks and nine RBI.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. is hitting .247 with six doubles, three home runs and 24 walks.
  • Acuna ranks 164th in home runs and 220th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Ozzie Albies has 10 doubles, three home runs and 10 walks while hitting .279.
  • Albies will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double and a walk.
  • Matt Olson is hitting .227 with nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 20 walks.
  • Olson takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .471 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBI.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+265) 0.5 (+125)
Orlando Arcia 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+205)
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+160)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+175)
Austin Riley 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 3-2 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Padres have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 8
ERA 3.24
K/9 11.1

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar paces the Padres with 30 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .325.
  • Profar's home run total puts him 41st in the majors, and he is 18th in RBI.
  • Profar brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .257 with two home runs, five walks and seven RBI.
  • Tatis has hit a team-best eight home runs.
  • Tatis is 33rd among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 63rd in RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .275 with 10 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 16 walks.
  • Luis Arraez is hitting .306 with 10 doubles, a triple and 10 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+175)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+135) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+200)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+140)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+155)

Padres vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves game on Friday, May 17.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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