Braves vs. Phillies NLDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7

Updated Oct. 7, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

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The NLDS begins on Saturday when the Atlanta Braves play host to the Philadelphia Phillies. Action begins at 6:07 PM ET at Truist Park, and can be watched on TBS. The Braves are the favorite in this one, at -208, while the underdog Phillies have +173 odds to play spoiler. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). An 8.5-run over/under is set in the contest.

The Atlanta Braves will hand the ball to Spencer Strider (20-5, 3.91 ERA), who is looking for win No. 21 on the season, and the Phillies will turn to Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 6:07 PM ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 55%, Phillies 45%

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 149 games this season and won 96 (64.4%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has entered 52 games this season favored by -208 or more and is 36-16 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 67.5% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• The Phillies have been underdogs in 50 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (46%) in those contests.
• Philadelphia has been listed as an underdog of +173 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 36.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves played as the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and went 7-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Braves' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• The Braves best hitter thus far this season is Ronald Acuna Jr., who's hitting at a team-leading .337 clip along with 41 homers and 106 RBI.
• Acuna ranks fifth in home runs and eighth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Matt Olson has hit 54 home runs with 139 RBI. Both are team-highs.
• Olson ranks first in home runs in MLB, and first in RBI.
• Olson carries an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .353 with a double, two home runs, five walks and eight RBI.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .280 with 30 doubles, five triples, 33 home runs and 46 walks.
• Albies is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .429 with a triple, a home run, four walks and five RBI.
• Austin Riley is hitting .283 with 33 doubles, three triples, 37 home runs and 59 walks.
• Riley has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with three doubles, a triple, two walks and an RBI.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Phillies have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Phillies are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has swatted a team-high 47 long balls.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Schwarber is second in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Trea Turner has 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .266.
• Turner ranks 38th in homers and 67th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Alec Bohm has 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks while batting .274.
• Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with a team-leading batting average of .293.

Phillies Team Props

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