Data Skrive
The Atlanta Braves will visit the Philadelphia Phillies in the fourth game of the NLDS on Thursday at 8:07 PM ET, live on TBS from Citizens Bank Park. The Braves hope to force a Game 5 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 2-1. Bookmakers list the Braves as -151 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Phillies +128 moneyline odds to win. Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. An 8.5-run over/under has been listed for the game.
The probable pitchers are Spencer Strider (20-5, 3.86 ERA) for the Braves against Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) for the Phillies.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, October 12, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite |
Favorite Moneyline |
Underdog Moneyline |
Total |
Over Total Odds |
Under Total Odds |
Run Line |
Favorite Run Line Odds |
Underdog Run Line Odds |
Braves |
-151 |
+128 |
8.5 |
-108 |
-111 |
-1.5 |
+109 |
-129 |
Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Braves 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Phillies 49%
Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights
- The Braves have entered the game as favorites 151 times this season and won 97, or 64.2%, of those games.
- This season Atlanta has won 73 of its 106 games, or 68.9%, when favored by at least -151 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- The Phillies have come away with 24 wins in the 52 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Philadelphia has won four of 14 games when listed as at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and finished 6-3 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
- The Braves are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
Stat |
Avg/Total |
Record |
6-4 |
Runs Per Game |
5.3 |
HR |
12 |
ERA |
5.20 |
K/9 |
8.2 |
Braves Player Insights
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has racked up a team-high batting average of .337.
- In all of MLB, Acuna is fifth in home runs and eighth in RBI.
- Matt Olson's 54 home runs and 139 runs batted in both pace his team.
- Including all MLB hitters, Olson ranks first in home runs and first in RBI.
- Olson has 11 games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .353 with a double, a home run, three walks and seven RBI.
- Ozzie Albies is batting .280 with 30 doubles, five triples, 33 home runs and 46 walks.
- Albies has at least one base hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .390 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, six walks and six RBI.
- Austin Riley is batting .281 with 32 doubles, three triples, 37 home runs and 59 walks.
- Riley brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .348 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI.
Braves Team Props
|
Hits O/U |
Total Bases O/U |
HR O/U |
RBI O/U |
Ozzie Albies |
1.5 (+180) |
1.5 (+100) |
0.5 (+450) |
0.5 (+160) |
Ronald Acuña Jr. |
1.5 (+185) |
1.5 (+105) |
0.5 (+400) |
0.5 (+180) |
Austin Riley |
0.5 (-213) |
1.5 (+125) |
0.5 (+360) |
0.5 (+150) |
Marcell Ozuna |
0.5 (-222) |
1.5 (+125) |
0.5 (+340) |
0.5 (+165) |
Kevin Pillar |
0.5 (-105) |
0.5 (-105) |
0.5 (+600) |
0.5 (+245) |
Learn more about this Braves vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Phillies have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
Stat |
Avg/Total |
Record |
6-4 |
Runs Per Game |
5.3 |
HR |
17 |
ERA |
3.31 |
K/9 |
9.8 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Kyle Schwarber has a team-best 47 home runs.
- Schwarber is second in homers and 11th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
- Trea Turner has 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .266.
- Among all MLB batters, Turner ranks 38th in homers and 66th in RBI.
- Alec Bohm is hitting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
- Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with a team-high batting average of .293.
Phillies Team Props
|
Hits O/U |
Total Bases O/U |
HR O/U |
RBI O/U |
Trea Turner |
0.5 (-200) |
1.5 (+145) |
0.5 (+450) |
0.5 (+220) |
Nicholas Castellanos |
0.5 (-115) |
0.5 (-105) |
0.5 (+550) |
0.5 (+240) |
Brandon Marsh |
0.5 (+110) |
0.5 (+110) |
0.5 (+750) |
0.5 (+360) |
J.T. Realmuto |
0.5 (-141) |
0.5 (-130) |
0.5 (+500) |
0.5 (+225) |
Bryce Harper |
0.5 (-149) |
0.5 (-149) |
0.5 (+450) |
0.5 (+220) |