Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

Updated Jul. 5, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Marcell Ozuna and the Atlanta Braves square off against Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday at 7:20 PM ET. The Braves are favored in this one, at -139, while the underdog Phillies have +117 odds to upset. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +153 odds). The contest's total has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 7:20 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -139 +117 7.5 -104 -115 -1.5 +153 -184

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 4, Phillies 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Phillies 49%

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 43 out of the 75 games, or 57.3%, in which they've been favored.
  • Atlanta is 34-22 this season when entering a game favored by -139 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Phillies have been underdogs in 13 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (53.8%) in those contests.
  • This year, Philadelphia has won two of four games when listed as at least +117 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 46.1% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
PHI 8 ยท ATL 6
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Atlanta Braves
ATL

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves went 4-6 over the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total one time.
  • The Braves' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.8
HR 6
ERA 2.56
K/9 10.3

Braves Player Insights

  • Ozuna is the bat to watch in the Braves lineup, leading the team in batting average (.296), home runs (21), and RBI (67).
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Ozuna ranks seventh in homers and fourth in RBI.
  • Ozuna has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .167 with a double and two walks.
  • Ozzie Albies is hitting .257 with 24 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 21 walks.
  • Albies ranks 178th in home runs in the majors, and 75th in RBI.
  • Albies enters this matchup looking for his eighth game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .225 with three doubles, two walks and an RBI.
  • Austin Riley is batting .255 with 16 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Riley will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .294 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
  • Matt Olson is hitting .241 with 19 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Olson has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .176 with three walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+155)
Austin Riley 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+200)
Jarred Kelenic 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+210)
Matt Olson 0.5 (-180) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+165)
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Phillies have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Phillies and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Phillies are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 12
ERA 3.78
K/9 8.9

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bohm has racked up a team-leading 70 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Bohm is 68th in homers and third in RBI.
  • Bryson Stott is hitting .243 with 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 37 walks.
  • Stott is 201st in homers and 82nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .236 with 14 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Trea Turner has 14 doubles, five home runs and 12 walks while batting .340.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trea Turner 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+180)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)
Johan Rojas 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+320)
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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