Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 6

Updated Jul. 6, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Atlanta Braves and Ozzie Albies head into the second of a three-game series against Bryson Stott and the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday at Truist Park. The Braves are listed as -119 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Phillies (-101). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +160 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup (with -116 odds to hit the over and -104 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 7:15 PM ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to Watch on TV: FOX

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Phillies 49%

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 43, or 56.6%, of those games.
• Atlanta has a record of 41-33 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -119 on the moneyline.
• The Braves have a 54.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Phillies have been victorious in eight, or 57.1%, of the 14 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 5-6 when favored by -101 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 50.2% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

PHI 1 · ATL 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

+101

O 8

Atlanta Braves

ATL

+1.5

-120

U 8

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and they went 4-6 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Braves have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Not only does Marcell Ozuna lead the Braves in hitting with his .296 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with 22 home runs and 70 RBI.
• Ozuna is fifth in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Ozuna carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .263 with 24 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 21 walks.
• Albies ranks 151st in homers in MLB, and 69th in RBI.
• Albies has eight games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .300 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Austin Riley is batting .255 with 16 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 27 walks.
• Riley will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .294 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Matt Olson has 20 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .241.
• Olson has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with a double and three walks.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Phillies have been underdogs twice and won both contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Phillies are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm has driven in the most runs for the Phillies with 70 runs batted in.
• Bohm ranks 72nd in homers and third in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .243 with 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 38 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Stott ranks 203rd in home runs and 84th in RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .238 with 14 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 25 walks.
• Trea Turner is batting .341 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.

Phillies Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - 07/06/2024

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