Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 7

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 7

Updated Jul. 7, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

A pair of hot hitters, Marcell Ozuna and Alec Bohm, will be on display when the Atlanta Braves face the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET, at Truist Park. The Phillies are listed as +141 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Braves (-167). Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's total is set at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves on Saturday, July 6.
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Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSE
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -167 +141 8.5 +100 -120 -1.5 +121 -143

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 4, Phillies 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 52%, Phillies 48%

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 44 (57.1%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has entered 40 games this season favored by -167 or more and is 25-15 in those contests.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Phillies have won in eight, or 53.3%, of the 15 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Philadelphia has played as an underdog of +141 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 41.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
PHI 0 ยท ATL 6
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Atlanta Braves
ATL

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have a 4-6 record across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over one time.
  • The Braves' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.0
HR 9
ERA 2.63
K/9 10.4

Braves Player Insights

  • Not only does Ozuna lead the Braves in hitting with his .298 average, he also paces the squad with 23 home runs and 72 RBI.
  • Among all MLB batters, Ozuna is 12th in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
  • Ozuna takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .266 with 24 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 21 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Albies is 125th in home runs and 55th in RBI.
  • Albies has nine straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .350 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
  • Austin Riley is hitting .253 with 16 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Matt Olson has 20 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 34 walks while batting .239.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Olson 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+300) 0.5 (+140)
Travis d'Arnaud 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+180)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+245) 0.5 (+115)
Austin Riley 0.5 (-290) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+140)
Jarred Kelenic 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and have gone 2-1 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Phillies are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 11
ERA 4.60
K/9 9.9

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bohm has driven in the most runs for the Phillies with 70 runs batted in.
  • In all of the big leagues, Bohm ranks 74th in homers and fourth in RBI.
  • Bryson Stott is hitting .244 with 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 39 walks.
  • Stott ranks 204th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 85th in RBI.
  • Nicholas Castellanos has 14 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 25 walks while batting .238.
  • Trea Turner is hitting .340 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+220)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+140)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+140)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+150)
Kody Clemens 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+180)

Phillies vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves on Saturday, July 6.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Atlanta Braves
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