Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

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Taijuan Walker takes the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday at Citizens Bank Park against Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves. First pitch is at 1:05 PM ET. The Braves are the favorite in this one, at -159, while the underdog Phillies have +137 odds to upset. Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 10 runs for this game.

The Braves will start Charlie Morton (14-11) versus the Phillies and Walker (15-5).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 11, 2023 at 1:05 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Phillies 49%

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 129 times this season and won 85, or 65.9%, of those games.
• Atlanta has a record of 58-22 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -159 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• The Phillies have won in 19, or 46.3%, of the 41 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Philadelphia has been victorious one time in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 42.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves went 6-3 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Braves' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

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Braves Player Insights

• The Braves best hitter so far this season is Ronald Acuna Jr., who's hitting at a team-leading .336 rate along with 35 homers and 93 RBI.
• Acuna is sixth in homers and 11th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Acuna brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .450 with three home runs, four walks and seven RBI.
• Olson's 48 home runs and 121 RBI both lead his team.
• Olson is first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Olson carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .359 with a double, five home runs, five walks and nine RBI.
• Ozzie Albies is batting .266 with 21 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 38 walks.
• Albies is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .136 with a walk and an RBI.
• Austin Riley is hitting .276 with 27 doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 49 walks.
• Riley has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .211 with two home runs, two walks and two RBI.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Phillies have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Phillies are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has a team-leading 43 home runs and has driven in 94 runs.
• In all of the big leagues, Schwarber ranks third in home runs and ninth in RBI.
• Schwarber has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with three home runs, five walks and five RBI.
• Trea Turner is batting .264 with 30 doubles, five triples, 24 home runs and 41 walks.
• Turner is 38th among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 62nd in RBI.
• Bryson Stott has 29 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 35 walks while batting .290.
• Alec Bohm is batting .277 with 29 doubles, 16 home runs and 38 walks.

Phillies Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Braves vs Phillies!

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