Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12
Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves take on Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET in the third game of a four-game series. The Braves have been listed as -125 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Phillies (+105). Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game.
The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Atlanta Braves looking to Max Fried (7-1), and Zack Wheeler (11-6) getting the nod for the Philadelphia Phillies.
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds
- When: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Braves | -125 | +105 | 8.5 | -121 | +101 | -1.5 | +134 | -158 |
Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Phillies 49%
Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 131 games this season and won 86 (65.6%) of those contests.
- Atlanta is 79-38 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- The Phillies have won in 20, or 46.5%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Philadelphia has won 14 of 28 games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
- The Braves' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
HR | 22 |
ERA | 5.60 |
K/9 | 10 |
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Braves Player Insights
- The Braves best hitter so far this season is Acuna, who's hitting at a team-leading .334 clip along with 36 homers and 95 RBI.
- Of all batters in MLB, Acuna's home run total places him sixth, and his RBI tally ranks him eighth.
- Matt Olson has shown off his power as he leads his team with 50 home runs and 127 runs batted in.
- Olson ranks first in homers and first in RBI on the season.
- Olson carries a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is batting .472 with two doubles, seven home runs, seven walks and 15 RBI.
- Ozzie Albies is batting .266 with 22 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 39 walks.
- Albies is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .190 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
- Austin Riley is hitting .276 with 27 doubles, two triples, 34 home runs and 49 walks.
Braves Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ozzie Albies | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+155) |
Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 (-169) | 0.5 (-169) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+215) |
Michael Harris II | 0.5 (-196) | 0.5 (-196) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+240) |
Eddie Rosario | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+225) |
Max Fried | - | - | - | - |
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Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
- The Phillies have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
HR | 17 |
ERA | 4.96 |
K/9 | 9.4 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Schwarber leads the Phillies with 43 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 94.
- Schwarber ranks third in home runs and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Schwarber has collected a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .371 with five home runs, 14 walks and eight RBI.
- Trea Turner has 31 doubles, five triples, 25 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .267.
- Turner is 33rd in home runs and 51st in RBI among all batters in MLB.
- Alec Bohm has 30 doubles, 16 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .278.
- Bryson Stott has 30 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .287.
Phillies Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Trea Turner | 0.5 (-256) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+185) |
Alec Bohm | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+185) |
Bryce Harper | 0.5 (-227) | 1.5 (+145) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+185) |
Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 (-154) | 0.5 (-154) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+220) |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+260) |
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