Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Updated Sep. 12, 2023 10:11 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves take on Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET in the third game of a four-game series. The Braves have been listed as -125 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Phillies (+105). Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Atlanta Braves looking to Max Fried (7-1), and Zack Wheeler (11-6) getting the nod for the Philadelphia Phillies.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -125 +105 8.5 -121 +101 -1.5 +134 -158

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Phillies 49%

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 131 games this season and won 86 (65.6%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta is 79-38 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Phillies have won in 20, or 46.5%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Philadelphia has won 14 of 28 games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
  • The Braves' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 22
ERA 5.60
K/9 10

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Braves Player Insights

  • The Braves best hitter so far this season is Acuna, who's hitting at a team-leading .334 clip along with 36 homers and 95 RBI.
  • Of all batters in MLB, Acuna's home run total places him sixth, and his RBI tally ranks him eighth.
  • Matt Olson has shown off his power as he leads his team with 50 home runs and 127 runs batted in.
  • Olson ranks first in homers and first in RBI on the season.
  • Olson carries a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is batting .472 with two doubles, seven home runs, seven walks and 15 RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .266 with 22 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 39 walks.
  • Albies is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .190 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
  • Austin Riley is hitting .276 with 27 doubles, two triples, 34 home runs and 49 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+155)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+215)
Michael Harris II 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+240)
Eddie Rosario 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+225)
Max Fried - - - -

Learn more about this Braves vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Phillies have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 17
ERA 4.96
K/9 9.4

Phillies Player Insights

  • Schwarber leads the Phillies with 43 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 94.
  • Schwarber ranks third in home runs and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Schwarber has collected a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .371 with five home runs, 14 walks and eight RBI.
  • Trea Turner has 31 doubles, five triples, 25 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .267.
  • Turner is 33rd in home runs and 51st in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Alec Bohm has 30 doubles, 16 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .278.
  • Bryson Stott has 30 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .287.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trea Turner 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+185)
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-154) 0.5 (-154) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+220)
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+260)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Braves vs Phillies!

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