Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18

Updated Sep. 18, 2023 9:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves will try to get to Zack Wheeler when he takes the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday at 7:20 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Truist Park. The Phillies have been listed as -109 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Braves (-111). Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's over/under is set at 9.5 runs.

The Atlanta Braves will hand the ball to Kyle Wright (0-2, 7.48 ERA), who is looking for win No. 1 on the season, and the Phillies will counter with Wheeler (11-6, 3.65 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
How to Watch on TV: BSSO

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-111	-109	9.5	-105	-115	-1.5	-177	+147

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 6, Phillies 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 55%, Phillies 45%

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights

The Braves have been favorites in 136 games this season and won 88 (64.7%) of those contests.
This season Atlanta has won 88 of its 136 games, or 64.7%, when favored by at least -111 on the moneyline.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
The Phillies have won in 20, or 44.4%, of the 45 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 20-25 when favored by -109 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 52.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves played as the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and went 5-5 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over eight times.
The Braves have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	18
ERA	7.06
K/9	10.6

Braves Player Insights

Ronald Acuna Jr. has racked up a team-best batting average of .337.
Among all hitters in baseball, Acuna ranks sixth in homers and eighth in RBI.
Acuna has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
Matt Olson's 52 home runs and 129 RBI both pace his team.
Olson ranks first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Austin Riley is hitting .279 with 28 doubles, two triples, 36 home runs and 52 walks.
Ozzie Albies is hitting .267 with 25 doubles, four triples, 30 home runs and 40 walks.
Albies takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .292 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.

Learn more about this Braves vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 1-3 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
The Phillies have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	14
ERA	4.45
K/9	8.5

Phillies Player Insights

Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 44 home runs and has driven in 97 runs.
Among all hitters in the majors, Schwarber is third in home runs and 11th in RBI.
Trea Turner is hitting .269 with 32 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 41 walks.
Turner is 31st in homers and 55th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Bryson Stott is hitting .287 with 30 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 36 walks.
Alec Bohm is hitting .281 with 30 doubles, 17 home runs and 41 walks.