Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Updated Sep. 20, 2023 12:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Ronald Acuna Jr. and Trea Turner will look to continue their recent offensive production when the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies meet at Truist Park on Wednesday, at 12:20 PM ET. The Braves are -140 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Phillies (+119). Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +141 odds). The contest's over/under is set at 9.5 runs.

The Braves will give the ball to Bryce Elder (12-4) versus the Phillies and Aaron Nola (12-9).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 12:20 PM ET
Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-140	+119	9.5	-110	-110	-1.5	+141	-167

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 56%, Phillies 44%

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights

This season, the Braves have won 89 out of the 138 games, or 64.5%, in which they've been favored.
Atlanta has a record of 76-33, a 69.7% win rate, when favored by -140 or more by bookmakers this season.
The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 58.3%.
The Phillies have come away with 21 wins in the 47 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, Philadelphia has won six of 18 games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 45.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves have a 5-5 record over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
The Braves' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	18
ERA	7.06
K/9	11.5

Braves Player Insights

Acuna's .338 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes 39 homers and driven in 100 RBI.
Among all hitters in the majors, Acuna's home run total ranks him fifth, and his RBI tally puts him seventh.
Acuna takes a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .455 with a double, three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
Matt Olson's 52 home runs and 130 RBI are both team-highs.
Olson ranks first in homers and first in RBI on the year.
Olson heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with a home run, five walks and two RBI.
Ozzie Albies is hitting .268 with 25 doubles, four triples, 31 home runs and 41 walks.
Albies has at least one base hit in six straight games. In his last 10 games he is batting .311 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
Austin Riley has 28 doubles, two triples, 36 home runs and 54 walks while hitting .279.

Learn more about this Braves vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Phillies have a record of 2-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
The Phillies have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	18
ERA	4.80
K/9	8

Phillies Player Insights

Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 45 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 99.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Schwarber ranks second in homers and ninth in RBI.
Schwarber has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
Turner is batting .269 with 32 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 41 walks.
Turner ranks 32nd among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 59th in RBI.
Bryson Stott is hitting .283 with 30 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 36 walks.
Alec Bohm has 30 doubles, 17 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .277.