Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 28

Updated Jun. 28, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates will play on Friday at Truist Park, at 7:20 PM ET, with Marcell Ozuna and Bryan Reynolds among those expected to step up at the plate. Bookmakers list the Braves as -200 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +165 moneyline odds to win. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run total has been listed for this game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 7:20 PM ET
Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-200	+165	9	-107	-113	-1.5	-101	-119

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 56%, Pirates 44%

Braves vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Braves have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 40, or 58%, of those games.
Atlanta has a record of 19-7, a 73.1% win rate, when favored by -200 or more by bookmakers this season.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 66.7% chance to win.
The Pirates have won in 23, or 50%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Pittsburgh has been listed as an underdog of +165 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 37.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
The Braves are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	12
ERA	2.41
K/9	9.8

Braves Player Insights

Ozuna has put up a team-best batting average of .303, while leading the Braves in home runs (21) and runs batted in (64).
Ozuna is fourth in home runs and fourth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Ozzie Albies is batting .251 with 22 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 20 walks.
Albies ranks 169th in home runs and 66th in RBI on the year.
Matt Olson has 19 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 30 walks while hitting .241.
Austin Riley is hitting .252 with 14 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 24 walks.

Braves Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Marcell Ozuna	0.5 (-285)	-	-	-

Learn more about this Braves vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Pirates had a record of 2-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Pirates are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	10
ERA	3.64
K/9	7.8

Pirates Player Insights

Reynolds leads the lineup with a batting average of .279, and leads the Pirates in home runs, with 13 and runs batted in with 46.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds' home run total ranks 36th and his RBI tally is 27th.
Reynolds brings a hitting streak of 23 games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .385 with three doubles, four home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
Connor Joe has 15 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 24 walks while batting .245.
Joe ranks 132nd among all batters in the majors in home runs, and 139th in RBI.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .238 with seven doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 33 walks.
Oneil Cruz is hitting .239 with 15 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 20 walks.